Blackjack and Card Counting Forums - BlackjackInfo.com

  #1  
Old April 28th, 2010, 12:53 PM
rabbit215 rabbit215 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 25
Send a message via AIM to rabbit215
Default Numbers

Im looking for some info about the game.

Whats the probability of a dealer to win

1 time

2 times in a row

3 times in a row

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ?

Whats the probabilty that i can get a 20 on my first two cards ?
  #2  
Old April 28th, 2010, 01:07 PM
Sucker Sucker is offline
Executive Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: U.S.A.
Posts: 1,504
Default

It depends upon how well you play, and to a lesser extent the rules that are offered by the particular house; but assuming perfect basic strategy, the dealer will win approximately 53% of the time. The chance of the dealer winning twice in a row is 53/100 squared, or about 28% of the time. For three in a row, four in a row, and more; it's 53/100 to the 3rd power, 53/100 to the fourth power; and so on respectively.

The chance of your first two cards totaling 20 is about 11.1%, or one in nine.
  #3  
Old April 28th, 2010, 01:30 PM
Sucker Sucker is offline
Executive Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: U.S.A.
Posts: 1,504
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sucker View Post
It depends upon how well you play, and to a lesser extent the rules that are offered by the particular house; but assuming perfect basic strategy, the dealer will win approximately 53% of the time. The chance of the dealer winning twice in a row is 53/100 squared, or about 28% of the time. For three in a row, four in a row, and more; it's 53/100 to the 3rd power, 53/100 to the fourth power; and so on respectively.
I misunderstood the question, and gave you incorrect information here; so you can safely ignore this part of my answer.

But my second statement is correct for 8 decks; and for a single deck game the chance of being dealt a 20 is ((16/52 X 15/51) + (8/52 X 4/51)) or 10.1%. (21forme forgot to include in the chance of being dealt A-9).
  #4  
Old April 28th, 2010, 01:48 PM
Sucker Sucker is offline
Executive Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: U.S.A.
Posts: 1,504
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by FLASH1296 View Post
The following is REQUIRED for your calculations; irrespective of voodoo nonsense like “streaks” is an exercise in self-destructive futility.
  • On average your chances of winning a hand in BJ is 43%
  • On average your chances of losing a hand in BJ is 48%
  • On average your chances of pushing a hand in BJ is 9%
If this is correct (and I have no reason to believe it's NOT), then the answer to the first part of the question is:

1 time - 48%
2 times - .48 x .48 = 23.04%
3 times - .48 ^ 3 = 11.06%
4 times - .48 ^ 4 = 5.31%
etc.; etc.
  #5  
Old April 28th, 2010, 01:08 PM
21forme 21forme is offline
Executive Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 3,120
Default

1 time = 43%
2 times = 0.43 x 0.43 = 18.5 %
and so on.

This is at a neutral count. At +3, it's about 50%, and the basis for playing the Streak side bet, when available.

Odds of getting a 20 depends on the number of decks. If single deck, it's 16/52 x 15/51.
 

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 07:44 PM.


Forum Software vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright 2005-2011 Bayview Strategies LLC