2010 Football Season Picks

[Thunder]

Wow that was one defensive gem between the Ravens and Jets last night. Helped me start off the season 3-1. (Accidentally put picks in preseason link) Now is the time to capitalize on the games because it gets harder after the first few weeks once the bookmakers have a better idea of how good the teams are.

[Sharky]

Nice start Thunder!

I am posting my plays from last week, which I too posted in the preseason, here as well:

Originally Posted by Sharky

Usually only have 1 play...but this week is unusual 2 plays and both from Florida:

Take Jacksonville -2.5 and Tampa Bay -3

Have a "system" - doesn't everyone! - and have done very well (60-75%) for a long time.

Anyway, not only a good record, they are typically over by halftime.

Good luck,

Sharky

Even though they show 1-0-1, I was 2-0 as I got both games at -2.5.

Anyway, I'm using 1-0-1 for the record.

Good luck with continued success.

[Thunder]

Thanks Sharky.

I believe the Texans are going to punish the Redskins this week so I'm taking them at -2.5 (The new Redskins 3-4 alignment is causing them big problems with stopping the run and we saw what the Titan's RB did last week, gaining over 200 yards)

I like the Giants against the Colts at +5.5 as I don't think these Colts are as good as they have been in years past.

Seattle at +3.5 against Denver looks attractive.

I don't usually take lines this big but I like the Packers at -13 against the Bills.

New England -2.5 against the Jets. The Patriots look like their old selves.

KC +2.5 over Cleveland. Cleveland might just be the worst team in the league.

[Sharky]

my system's thoughts exactly...take HOUSTON...I had to search long and hard for that 2.5 though (pinnacle) as Vegas is using 3.

that's it 1 play Houston -2.5

good luck

Sharky

Last week: 1-0-1
Year: 1-0-1

[Thunder]

My book still has Houston at -2.5 Albert Haynesworth also isn't 100% not that it makes a huge difference anyway since he isn't trying hard at all anymore. I bet a lot on this game because unlike the Cowboys, Houston will be smart enough enough to pound the ball down Washington's throats until they prove they can stop the run.

[darco77]

I'm going to claim bets that are post-date. I realize this is bad form, but I'm running a proof-of-concept type deal, and only betting two-digits per game, so I have no incentive to lie.

That being said..

The strategy was simple: Exploit early season mispricing by taking the dog against the league's most overrated team. Simple enough. The only work was determining the most overrated team.

Thanks to a billionaire named Jerry Jones, the answer to my question fell into my lap. In the Romo era, the Cowboys have been a dream set for a fantasy football owner and the stats geek. But they've been a nightmare for the favorite bettor, the oil magnate owner, and worse of all,the fan. For four years now, the Dallas Cowboys have, with the assistance of international media, projected themselves as an elite team. Despite their disappointing record, the media continues to suck their balls. This year was no different. Jones publicly waxed on the idea of the Cowboys playing at home in the next Super Bowl (Is there still Niner Envy in your blood, Jerry? I'm thinking SB XIX is resonating in your dome, homey). End result? Cowboys fail to cover - hell, they fail to WIN - in Week 1 and Week 2.

So that's the problem. It's only week 3, and in any other year some on-the-take ref would have prevented "America"'s Team from losing one of their matches. Now I don't have a bet. The Texans are favored by 3 points, Dallas is the dog. You read that right: Dallas is the Dog.

It's Week 3, and my surefire bet is empty. Anyone?