My 4 Week Strategy is Done
I'm going to claim bets that are post-date. I realize this is bad form, but I'm running a proof-of-concept type deal, and only betting two-digits per game, so I have no incentive to lie.
That being said..
The strategy was simple: Exploit early season mispricing by taking the dog against the league's most overrated team. Simple enough. The only work was determining the most overrated team.
Thanks to a billionaire named Jerry Jones, the answer to my question fell into my lap. In the Romo era, the Cowboys have been a dream set for a fantasy football owner and the stats geek. But they've been a nightmare for the favorite bettor, the oil magnate owner, and worse of all,the fan. For four years now, the Dallas Cowboys have, with the assistance of international media, projected themselves as an elite team. Despite their disappointing record, the media continues to suck their balls. This year was no different. Jones publicly waxed on the idea of the Cowboys playing at home in the next Super Bowl (Is there still Niner Envy in your blood, Jerry? I'm thinking SB XIX is resonating in your dome, homey). End result? Cowboys fail to cover - hell, they fail to WIN - in Week 1 and Week 2.
So that's the problem. It's only week 3, and in any other year some on-the-take ref would have prevented "America"'s Team from losing one of their matches. Now I don't have a bet. The Texans are favored by 3 points, Dallas is the dog. You read that right: Dallas is the Dog.
It's Week 3, and my surefire bet is empty. Anyone?