I am due for luck

[blackjack avenger]

Originally Posted by StandardDeviant

Well, not exactly. 9N0 would be the number of hands one would need play to play in order for 99.5% of all outcomes to be > 0. This does not guarantee that one's outcome will be around expectation, unless we define the word "around" pretty broadly. It does however say that after 9N0 hands, it would be pretty unlikely for a player to still be losing money.

I agree
However, I did not say "guarantee" and yes the word "around" is pretty broad. Where will most players outcomes be at 9NO? Most players will have results clustered around EV. We agree that most will be winning.

So if you go back to the original post and someone wondering about their luck or when they are due for a win. My response is to play to the long run NOs.

So
at 9NO fixed
36NO resizing
most will be winning
many will be around expectation

Nothing wrong with clarification!

[StandardDeviant]

Originally Posted by blackjack avenger

Nothing wrong with clarification!

I think we're in violent agreement.

I confess that I am on a bit of a one-woman campaign to keep people from assuming that counting guarantees that they will realize EV in the near term.

[daddybo]

Originally Posted by StandardDeviant

.....I confess that I am on a bit of a one-woman campaign ....

When did you get to be a woman? I really thought you were a guy.

[StandardDeviant]

Originally Posted by daddybo

When did you get to be a woman? I really thought you were a guy.

Was it something I said?

[Jack_Black]

what the F? you really are woman? I thought that was kind of strange when I saw a post of yours that said. "what's a woman to do?" I thought to myself, I think a woman could care less about what we were talking about. what the hell is this guy smoking? Most other females on here make it known right away, maybe that's why it is so shocking.

[daddybo]

Originally Posted by StandardDeviant

Was it something I said?

probably not, just predisposed chauvinism.