Blackjack and Card Counting Forums - BlackjackInfo.com

  #1  
Old December 11th, 2011, 12:56 PM
Team 18 Team 18 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 5
Default 15 vs. 10 stick? (I18) at TC 4

can anyone explain why this is a play?

surely even if you avoid the 10 that is likely to come and bust you, the dealer will get it to his 10 and beat you anyway?

is there any easy way to explain this or is it hard mathematic theory>
  #2  
Old December 11th, 2011, 01:07 PM
tthree tthree is offline
Executive Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 2,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Team 18 View Post
can anyone explain why this is a play?

surely even if you avoid the 10 that is likely to come and bust you, the dealer will get it to his 10 and beat you anyway?

is there any easy way to explain this or is it hard mathematic theory>
As your likelihood of busting goes up with the TC your chances become better hoping the dealer will bust. If you make a 17, 18 or 19 the dealer is still likely to beat you. You will probably bust hoping for that 6. If you stand, the dealer may turn over a 2 thru 6 giving an excellent chance he will bust. The odds swing in favor of standing as your prospects of hitting to a winner decrease. Your hit card 2 thru 6 with losing more likely if you catch one as the count rises or dealer down card 2 thru 6 with your winning chances increasing for standing as the count rises. That is were the sims say the point that stand overtakes hit.
  #3  
Old December 11th, 2011, 01:09 PM
Team 18 Team 18 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 5
Default

great explanation thank you!!
  #4  
Old December 11th, 2011, 01:09 PM
stopgambling stopgambling is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2011
Location: north
Posts: 117
Default

???? what is so hard???
you dont want to bust 1st ,in case dealers have a low card underneath .the dealer will more likely to bust.the reason is YOU DONT WANT TO BUST 1ST,IF DEALER GET STIFF THEN THE DEALER IS MORE LIKELY TO BUST.IF YOU BUST FIRST ,YOU WILL NOT GET PAID EVEN DEALER BUST!!!! Of course there is math behind it,but just this simple reasoning is probably good enough for now
.
 

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 07:34 AM.


Forum Software vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright 2005-2011 Bayview Strategies LLC