How is everyone else's year going so far?

assume_R

Well-Known Member
#1
As we move onto the second half of 2011, I was wondering how everybody's years are going so far?

There have been 28 weekends this year so far, of which I've played 16 of them. I have had 9 losing trips and 7 winning trips. Right now I'm under EV, averaging a winrate of about 2/3 a unit per hour :mad:.

I definitely know that I am still inside the turmoil of variance, but it doesn't make it any easier to stomach psychologically when I am definitely under my simulated EV. I peaked around the middle of March and have been steadily decreasing my profit since then.

2010 (my first year of counting) treated me much better. 2011 is a fickle mistress and if I do say so myself being kind of a bitch ;).
 

tallmanvegas

Well-Known Member
#2
assume_R said:
As we move onto the second half of 2011, I was wondering how everybody's years are going so far?

There have been 28 weekends this year so far, of which I've played 16 of them. I have had 9 losing trips and 7 winning trips. Right now I'm under EV, averaging a winrate of about 2/3 a unit per hour :mad:.

I definitely know that I am still inside the turmoil of variance, but it doesn't make it any easier to stomach psychologically when I am definitely under my simulated EV. I peaked around the middle of March and have been steadily decreasing my profit since then.

2010 (my first year of counting) treated me much better. 2011 is a fickle mistress and if I do say so myself being kind of a bitch ;).
Going great, been to Vegas 4 times this year with multiple runs to local stores. Couple losing sessions but pulled out at the end of trip. Getting better and better, well over 5 figures so far
Tallman
 
#10
Over the end of '09 and much of '10, I had built a reasonable BR, and I had moved into somewhat higher unit size. Then January '11 hit, and my household suffered a substantial economic meltdown (no relation to BJ play), so there went my carefully-built BR, drained into household support, digging out of that hole. No BJ for the duration.

It's been 6 months, the household has stabilized, and I'm starting over. Just 10 days ago, I allowed myself to pull a small amount into a new BJ BR and have been to several area casinos. Necessarily, I'm starting back at the very bottom end of red-chipping, but that's OK: I'm up close to 90 units already, over the course of a total of about 14 hours of play.

With a month or three of positive performance, I'll begin to debate with myself increasing my unit size. No rush; happy to start slowly and build conservatively. Frankly, I'm just glad to be back in the game.

What's disturbing me are 2 things, both internal/psychological: Emotional trouble watching variance occur (I've actually won close to 150 units, but along the way lost 60; +90 is net-to-date), and regaining my nerve to push out larger bets on splits and doubles.

The up side is that starting over means I still have some good habits I gained a year-plus ago, most notably being the keeping of meticulous records. I'll be happier when I finish regaining a solid sense of Knowing When To Leave, which is currently running a bit ragged (see "lost 60" above). It's all coming back, and I wasn't gone that long anyway...
 

kewljason

Well-Known Member
#11
Had a fantastic first half of year. Was with in a stones throw of my total win for all of 2010, and set new all time highes many days. Like plainplayer, I did experience quite a bit of variance that I am still learning to deal with. 9 huge swing days to be exact. Luckily they were favorable by a 2-1 ratio and in reality much larger than that as the biggest wins were much larger than the biggest losses.

Day 1 of the second half (july 1) started off with yet another of these huge swings to the negative side, so I hope that is not a omen for the second half of the year.

Like Mr Chap, I had some motivational problems, which resulted in my total play being down just a bit. March to early may, here in Vegas, every day is 80 degrees and sunny and there are things I would rather do than play blackjack, like hiking and biking in Red Rock canyon or just taking a drive out to the desert.
 
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Nynefingers

Well-Known Member
#12
The Chaperone said:
I'm up about 1,200 max bets so far. Haven't really played all that much. Struggling with motivation.
Doesn't this represent a 7 figure win for you? Very nice!

As for me, I've had very little play. Basically 2 trips. It's been a bit disappointing, but I'm up mid 4 figures after expenses. On the upside, I've learned a lot that will contribute to future earnings.
 

kewljason

Well-Known Member
#14
21forme said:
You have a car now?
For a while now, 21. Gotta be able to easily play the locals places. :) Most days it still doesn't move from the parking garage though. I walk/monorail the strip and still will take the bus downtown. It's easier, quicker and cheaper.
 
#15
Absolutely amazing

The Chaperone said:
I'm up about 1,200 max bets so far. Haven't really played all that much. Struggling with motivation.
There is more than counting at work here. I thought I was doing well with my approx 270 max bets up for the year.
 

Friendo

Well-Known Member
#16
In the hole

Behind for the year. In the red for my career.

Have been in the black on three occasions, only one of which lasted longer than one session - and that lasted two sessions. :laugh:

Each time I claw my way into near-profitability or actual profitability, the floor opens up with a nice 10-max-bet dumping over 6 hours.

In fairness, my career started this spring, after a few years of sporadically reading one blackjack book, and then another, and many idle hours of counting down a deck when stranded at airports, etc.

Hoping to put in 300 hours this year. I know that I might still be underwater at that time.
 
#17
AussiePlayer said:
And I thought I had BR issues! How the hell do you count with a BR of $0.00?
It's rough man. When we (my team) experience swings they're technically huge at these micro-stakes. Have had 13 sessions, only losing 4 of which. And at one we nearly doubled the roll :laugh:

I started by getting spotted at a nickel table with 20 units, so afterwards we've only played with the profits and then instituted a replenishable BR.
 
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ChefJJ

Well-Known Member
#18
Hangin in There

Trying to strengthen a bankroll to self-sustainability, but hit a couple speed bumps in May/June. That's life, though, and July has started out in a positive direction again.
 

Gamblor

Well-Known Member
#19
Not doing too bad myself. Around 1000 hrs of play. 70%+ session win rate. Max session win +215 units (an outlier, usually my max wins are clustered around +70 to +100). Max session loss -60 units.

Primarily count, but mix in other AP stuff.

I have problems with motivation too, but then again I always do. OK some people would just call me lazy :grin:
 

mjbballar23

Well-Known Member
#20
Gamblor said:
Not doing too bad myself. Around 1000 hrs of play. 70%+ session win rate. Max session win +215 units (an outlier, usually my max wins are clustered around +70 to +100). Max session loss -60 units.

Primarily count, but mix in other AP stuff.

I have problems with motivation too, but then again I always do. OK some people would just call me lazy :grin:
Something is not adding up here. Your primarily counting, have 1000 hours played so far this year (40+ hours a week??!!!), and you've never had a session loss over 60 units? So if your a $5 unit player you've never lost more than $300 in one session over a 1000 hour sample? Pretty sure this is not possible...
 
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