"good" Vegas games

Jack_Black

Well-Known Member
#41
chichow said:
my point about the max is that

1. you can get more money down at that 5000 table.
2. there is more likely to be bigger players so even if you throw down a purple its not out of the ordinary
3. At you 300 max table, you can't throw down a purple. And at your 500 max table, instead of checks play call, you are going to get a table max call

and back to my original point. yes one place may be a .17 game and another a .26 game, but other things like table limits and the environment you play in also matter.
You are correct in the more obvious observations. But environment is more important than the posted table rules. There are plenty of joints that offer high limits, but playing high limits in a dumpy joint causes suspicion. Why would a high roller want to play in this dump? is the question they're asking in inner monologue. If you play blacks on a $500 table in a dump like el cortez, you WILL get attention, and not good attention at that. But if you play blacks at the palazzo or cesear's, you will probably get the upturned snob nose for wasting their time with such a low limit.
 

chichow

Well-Known Member
#42
which is why I said

"I am just wanting to compare all facets of the game."

and

"2. there is more likely to be bigger players so even if you throw down a purple its not out of the ordinary"

We're just nitpicking at this point.

All facets of the game was meant to include the environment which includes table rules, casino environment, Heat, and so on.
 
#43
Chow

chichow said:
its low to me if there is a 7+ hour drive involved and you make one unit of EV an hour.
At a 10 dollar unit, you're making 20k a year with Variance. I personally think its better to work at Walmart for that amount of money and no variance.

I add in my gas costs, my flight costs, etc. when calculating my return. I compare it to is it better than flipping burgers or doing freelance work. Is that so bad?
First of all, I do work, but not at Walmart:laugh::laugh:

On the game I mentioned, 1 unit an hour EV:confused::confused:, not in my world,,Chow.:rolleyes:

I know you have a problem with a drive, you prefer to fly and have someone look up your ass before you get on the plane, you may get off on that...not me:eek: :laugh:;)

CP
 

Jack_Black

Well-Known Member
#44
chichow said:
So you can actually then do a 1 - 40 spread and bet 1000 and for ONE shoe and get out and still be far far from table max. You certainly can't do that at a table with a 300 or 500 max bet.
This is what I was responding to. You CANNOT spread like that ANYWHERE without raising suspicion.

chichow said:
And with a 1 or 1.5 shoe session, that is likely to be too short for you to get yanked. ...just saying...
Are you expecting to always win your $1000 bet when the count is high? Is your plan to play 1-2 shoes then leave a casino? Or play until you get the one shoe that calls for you making a few $1000 bets, then leave? So, an example situation would be, you play 5 shoes and betting only $25 for each and every hand. Then on the 6th shoe, the count starts to rise and it calls for a $1000 bet with 1 deck left before the cut card. You've made 5 $1000 bets in a row, but they all lost. Are you going to keep making $1000 bets till the cut card comes, or are you going to walk away?
 

Jack_Black

Well-Known Member
#45
chichow said:
Just IMHO you're giving waaay to much credit to the dealer.

but that being said, the example that was being compared was Monte Carlo.

Were you getting a checks play @ Monte Carlo? for going $5 to $50, $5-25, and 5-100

Or perhaps was it more sweaty property like 4Q or escortez? just saying...
It is not an opinion, it is a fact. You are not giving enough credit to the dealer. They can help you and for sure they can hurt you. some don't care about your spread, others do. some don't care where they put the cut card, others do.

No, I didn't get a checks play at monte carlo for such low spreads. But I can guarantee that if you spread 1-40, especially $25-$1000, you WILL get a checks play call at monte carlo.

I don't know what you're "just saying" but yes, I got a check play call at el cortez. The lowest spread I played there was $5 to two hands of $25 and it still got a call.

I don't see what your point is about where I played. I know that downtown is more nervous about spreads than big corporate casinos on the strip. But both have a tolerance level and 1-40 is most certainly above that tolerance level for ANY CASINO.
 

chichow

Well-Known Member
#46
Jack_Black said:
This is what I was responding to. You CANNOT spread like that ANYWHERE without raising suspicion.



Are you expecting to always win your $1000 bet when the count is high? Is your plan to play 1-2 shoes then leave a casino? Or play until you get the one shoe that calls for you making a few $1000 bets, then leave? So, an example situation would be, you play 5 shoes and betting only $25 for each and every hand. Then on the 6th shoe, the count starts to rise and it calls for a $1000 bet with 1 deck left before the cut card. You've made 5 $1000 bets in a row, but they all lost. Are you going to keep making $1000 bets till the cut card comes, or are you going to walk away?
If I was spreading to the extent that we were discussing, then no I don't care about longevity as I would at a home casino.

And since I also take a holistic view about how to approach a game, if I was spreading this much, then yes I would be limiting my sessions to 1 - 2 shoes and leaving the casino. And this is possible as I can just move on down the LVB
 

chichow

Well-Known Member
#47
Jack_Black said:
It is not an opinion, it is a fact. You are not giving enough credit to the dealer. They can help you and for sure they can hurt you. some don't care about your spread, others do. some don't care where they put the cut card, others do.

No, I didn't get a checks play at monte carlo for such low spreads. But I can guarantee that if you spread 1-40, especially $25-$1000, you WILL get a checks play call at monte carlo.

I don't know what you're "just saying" but yes, I got a check play call at el cortez. The lowest spread I played there was $5 to two hands of $25 and it still got a call.

I don't see what your point is about where I played. I know that downtown is more nervous about spreads than big corporate casinos on the strip. But both have a tolerance level and 1-40 is most certainly above that tolerance level for ANY CASINO.
If we must nitpick.

You said that you DID not get the checks play for your spread at Monte Carlo.
You said that you DID get the checks play for your spread at El Cortez.
You said that [you] "guarantee that if you spread 1-40, especially $25-$1000, you WILL get a checks play call at monte carlo."

I have spread 1 - 40 at Monte Carlo @ 25 - 1000. Over a several year period <-- I am being deliberately vague on this, I mostly did NOT get a checks play call on that spread. I did keep my sessions very short when utilizing that large of a spread and did not frequent the casino more than 2x in a trip.
 
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Jack_Black

Well-Known Member
#48
Let's way the pros and cons here.

spread 1-40 pros
10 more SCORE points added compared to spreading 1-20
uhhh. I think that's it.


1-40 spread cons
10 SCORE points compared to 1-20 spread. That's it?
much heat
must play extremely short sessions to get away with it.
Since sessions have been shortened, productive play time has now been turned into unproductive traveling and scouting time.
less playing = less hands = less profit
longevity has now turned into brevity.

You're very lucky to get away with that kind of spread on a strip property. But you did say that sometimes you will get the checks play call. Big light just went off everywhere. PC is gonna memorize your face, might call surveillance to review your play, you can get banned for a few months, or for life. If it is only a few months, that is still time that couldve been spent playing at that casino making the money instead of looking for a new place to play.

Don't you know about killing the goose that laid golden eggs? You want to be a mosquito bite to a casino, not a mortal stab wound. Keep slow and steady and drain them without noticing. Not hit and run where someone can remember your face and your play.
 

SleightOfHand

Well-Known Member
#49
Jack_Black said:
Let's way the pros and cons here.

spread 1-40 pros
10 more SCORE points added compared to spreading 1-20
uhhh. I think that's it.


1-40 spread cons
10 SCORE points compared to 1-20 spread. That's it?
much heat
must play extremely short sessions to get away with it.
Since sessions have been shortened, productive play time has now been turned into unproductive traveling and scouting time.
less playing = less hands = less profit
longevity has now turned into brevity.

You're very lucky to get away with that kind of spread on a strip property. But you did say that sometimes you will get the checks play call. Big light just went off everywhere. PC is gonna memorize your face, might call surveillance to review your play, you can get banned for a few months, or for life. If it is only a few months, that is still time that couldve been spent playing at that casino making the money instead of looking for a new place to play.

Don't you know about killing the goose that laid golden eggs? You want to be a mosquito bite to a casino, not a mortal stab wound. Keep slow and steady and drain them without noticing. Not hit and run where someone can remember your face and your play.
This is a reason why I feel people think too highly of SCORE (not that it doesn't have it's benefits). I am not going to argue about the "heat" aspect of the game, however, a 1-40 spread is indeed far superior to that of the 1-20, assuming your BR can handle it. When utilizing a 1-40 spread, chances are the player is already not spreading optimally (relative to kelly). This may be a big deal to someone with a smaller bankroll trying to optimize the logarithmic growth of the bankroll, but a player with a very large bankroll at a low limit table may barely care about the BR maximizing strategy, and choose an EV maximizing strategy when playing at a table with low limits.

Sure, there is a difference of 10 SCORE between a 1-20 and 1-40 spread. What about the WR? With a max bet at the same TC, the WR should be approximately double that of the smaller spread. CVCX usually attempts to get your bet spread as close to kelly as possible, so the max bet of the 1-40 spread will probably be later than that of the 1-20 spread, which means that the 1-20 spread will have an even higher c-SCORE than the 1-40. Especially for this kind of comparison, I definately feel that CE would be a much better tool to use. My CVCX is busy running sims right now so I cant quote any numbers, but with a sufficiently high bankroll, you will be able to see that the 1-40 spread will far exceed the value of the 1-20.

However, going back to heat considerations like you said, another thing to consider is the fact that the 1-40 spreader may be betting only a few shoes (and the poster also said he would only play twice at the casino the entire trip). He is limiting himself (the casinos did not tell him to play only 2 shoes), and if he would play even a few shoes or days with a 1-20 than 1-40, he would be making more profit at the casino. With multiple casinos available to play with the same kind of spread, however, this limitation becomes less important, depending on how many days he plans to play at the area. Also, if he doesn't plan on coming back for a while (which length of time depends on the PBs memory), who cares if he gets backed off? SCORE is a very small factor relative to other conditions when playing games.
 
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chichow

Well-Known Member
#50
Jack_Black said:
Let's way the pros and cons here.

spread 1-40 pros
10 more SCORE points added compared to spreading 1-20
uhhh. I think that's it.


1-40 spread cons
10 SCORE points compared to 1-20 spread. That's it?
much heat
must play extremely short sessions to get away with it.
Since sessions have been shortened, productive play time has now been turned into unproductive traveling and scouting time.
less playing = less hands = less profit
longevity has now turned into brevity.

You're very lucky to get away with that kind of spread on a strip property. But you did say that sometimes you will get the checks play call. Big light just went off everywhere. PC is gonna memorize your face, might call surveillance to review your play, you can get banned for a few months, or for life. If it is only a few months, that is still time that couldve been spent playing at that casino making the money instead of looking for a new place to play.

Don't you know about killing the goose that laid golden eggs? You want to be a mosquito bite to a casino, not a mortal stab wound. Keep slow and steady and drain them without noticing. Not hit and run where someone can remember your face and your play.
Jack_Black

"productive play time has now been turned into unproductive traveling and scouting time."

This is not the case. It is easy to jump from casino to casino on the strip.
Scouting time is not really a factor. CBJN is pretty good resource for the Vegas area.

"Big light just went off everywhere. PC is gonna memorize your face"
Again you give too much credit. A Checks play does not = a big light. A PC does not memorize your face that quickly. a PC is going to working that shift and there are going to be 3 - 4 shifts a day. And that PC may work another pit or game the next time you go there. And you get a back off first (in general), not banned.

I previously reviewed your posts. I have attempted to make some headway, but it doesn't seem to be working.

See the following posts:
http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/showthread.php?p=152164#post152164
or
http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/showthread.php?p=147800#post147800

You've joined the forum less than 6 months ago. You've been playing how long?

Of course you are entitled to your opinions, but I don't think you're right and I don't think that I'll be able to convince you otherwise. But since this is the USA, its ok. Different strokes. Different folks.

Good luck with your game. I'm saying that it is possible to get away with a crazy large spread in Vegas. You don't believe me. Well…it is what it is.

Peace.
 
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