.5% House Edge My Back Hair!!

Deathangl13

Well-Known Member
#21
Deeper thoughts....

Yea, so why do people say that blackjack has the lowest house edge of any casino game? Now, in practice, that might be true. When I practice at home, it feels very much like a close game, but in live play, it's not even close, counting or not. If birth control pills were blackjack, even with its 99% effectiveness against pregnancy, she'd be pregnant. If she got her tubes tied, or you had a vasectomy, or both, she'd be pregnant if it were blackjack. The impossible becomes predictable and routine. The odds mean nothing, the probabilities are nothing more than guesses. The math can get us to the moon, it is constant, but blackjack defies it. But!!! Only at the casino. You buy 6 decks of cards, a shoe, a shuffler, boxes of chips, the green felt. You use a cut card, like they do. You learn basic strategy to the letter, commit it to memory, and never miss a hand. You learn to count until it is interrupting your sleep. At home, everything seems to fit the math. Four out of ten cards are highs, the dealer busts 2 or 3 times every ten hands. Over a period of 100 hands, you probably win anywhere from 40 to 50, give or take. You start to trust the odds, as Renzey mentioned in his Bluebook II. He has dealt himself hands to test the odds. They are correct, just as the sims say they are...

Then you play at the casino... real blackjack. With your money, with real chips, real dealers, and distractions.... and something is wrong. You keep getting 14's, 15's, 16's. You hit them and bust, more times than the math allows. You start to realize that the only way you can beat this game is if the dealer busts, or you are dealt a 19 or 20 every hand. If you don't get a great hand on the first two cards, you bust or get beat. Every now and then, the strategy works and you catch winning hand. You double down on 11 against a 6. Three DD's in a row, you catch a 3. Another guy at the table doubles his 11, and you say to him, "Watch, it'll be a 3." It is. The dealer pulls 5 19's in a row to beat or push your 19's or lower. You can't win with a 20 or 21. The dealer might bust once in ten hands, way less than the math says. You don't believe in streaks, even after facing an hour long losing streak. The count goes positive, you raise your bets accordingly, and win 1 out of 5 hands.... You lower your bet during the negative count and there's two blackjacks on the table... You may or may not have one of them. You sum your session up to "variance", but four sessions later, you start to wonder what that word means. You've been practicing the wrong game....
 

MAZ

Well-Known Member
#22
Deathangl13 said:
Yea, so why do people say that blackjack has the lowest house edge of any casino game? Now, in practice, that might be true. When I practice at home, it feels very much like a close game, but in live play, it's not even close, counting or not. If birth control pills were blackjack, even with its 99% effectiveness against pregnancy, she'd be pregnant. If she got her tubes tied, or you had a vasectomy, or both, she'd be pregnant if it were blackjack. The impossible becomes predictable and routine. The odds mean nothing, the probabilities are nothing more than guesses. The math can get us to the moon, it is constant, but blackjack defies it. But!!! Only at the casino. You buy 6 decks of cards, a shoe, a shuffler, boxes of chips, the green felt. You use a cut card, like they do. You learn basic strategy to the letter, commit it to memory, and never miss a hand. You learn to count until it is interrupting your sleep. At home, everything seems to fit the math. Four out of ten cards are highs, the dealer busts 2 or 3 times every ten hands. Over a period of 100 hands, you probably win anywhere from 40 to 50, give or take. You start to trust the odds, as Renzey mentioned in his Bluebook II. He has dealt himself hands to test the odds. They are correct, just as the sims say they are...

Then you play at the casino... real blackjack. With your money, with real chips, real dealers, and distractions.... and something is wrong. You keep getting 14's, 15's, 16's. You hit them and bust, more times than the math allows. You start to realize that the only way you can beat this game is if the dealer busts, or you are dealt a 19 or 20 every hand. If you don't get a great hand on the first two cards, you bust or get beat. Every now and then, the strategy works and you catch winning hand. You double down on 11 against a 6. Three DD's in a row, you catch a 3. Another guy at the table doubles his 11, and you say to him, "Watch, it'll be a 3." It is. The dealer pulls 5 19's in a row to beat or push your 19's or lower. You can't win with a 20 or 21. The dealer might bust once in ten hands, way less than the math says. You don't believe in streaks, even after facing an hour long losing streak. The count goes positive, you raise your bets accordingly, and win 1 out of 5 hands.... You lower your bet during the negative count and there's two blackjacks on the table... You may or may not have one of them. You sum your session up to "variance", but four sessions later, you start to wonder what that word means. You've been practicing the wrong game....
Holy sh*t crybaby, are you wearing saggy diapers that leak or something? So you're getting all pissy over the fact that even though you've been playing blackjack for about 15 minutes your miniscule 1% advantage hasn't reared its head to make you a winner?! Wow, 4 whole sessions and you've seen it all I bet. Wipe the tears from your eyes and get friggin real kid. If you don't understand what you're getting into, then just don't do it. Your incessant whining is evidence you should probably be doing something else besides playing big boy games. Maybe you should go off and play in a sandbox until your balls drop. Its quite obvious you aren't ready to play this game, so don't try to spout your "observations" with nothing but your mere seconds of playing time as the basis of your bitch like rants.
 

Deathangl13

Well-Known Member
#24
MAZ said:
Holy sh*t crybaby, are you wearing saggy diapers that leak or something? So you're getting all pissy over the fact that even though you've been playing blackjack for about 15 minutes your miniscule 1% advantage hasn't reared its head to make you a winner?! Wow, 4 whole sessions and you've seen it all I bet. Wipe the tears from your eyes and get friggin real kid. If you don't understand what you're getting into, then just don't do it. Your incessant whining is evidence you should probably be doing something else besides playing big boy games. Maybe you should go off and play in a sandbox until your balls drop. Its quite obvious you aren't ready to play this game, so don't try to spout your "observations" with nothing but your mere seconds of playing time as the basis of your bitch like rants.
I'm sorry ma'am... you okay? You need an ambulance?
 
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