Dealer bust ratio

Thunder

Well-Known Member
#1
Is there any credence to the theory that if the dealer bust ratio as observed over several shoes is higher than normal, then that is better for the player? I'm pretty certain I'm going to be told no as this is ploppie thinking but I've been paying attention to it lately especially when the count has been good. It's been interesting seeing how like on my last trip when it is has been on the low side, I've gotten killed despite a TC of +4 - +6 for the last 1/4 of the shoe. The dealer kept pulling 19,20, 21's off her bust hands.
 

daddybo

Well-Known Member
#2
NO..This is akin to predicting streaks. (you know like a previous thread where it was pointed out this info only exists in the past) :) (or past history does not guarantee future results):)
 

assume_R

Well-Known Member
#3
assuming the shoes are sufficiently randomly shuffled each time and the dealer isn't making any mistakes then past shoes don't affect future shoes (i.e. past dice rolls don't affect future dice rolls). it might be an indication that the dealer is making mistakes, but that is another issue entirely and probably unlikely.

the only way past results affect future results is in the middle of the shoe, which is why we keep the count!
 
#4
Thunder

Thunder said:
Is there any credence to the theory that if the dealer bust ratio as observed over several shoes is higher than normal, then that is better for the player? I'm pretty certain I'm going to be told no as this is ploppie thinking but I've been paying attention to it lately especially when the count has been good. It's been interesting seeing how like on my last trip when it is has been on the low side, I've gotten killed despite a TC of +4 - +6 for the last 1/4 of the shoe. The dealer kept pulling 19,20, 21's off her bust hands.
A number of years ago on a machine shuffled 6d game I sat down and played at 4pm, did well, left and came back about 10pm and started playing again and the dealer began to bust or flat out lose at an 85% rate, this went on until 2.30 am when the casino could not take the loss any longer and shut down the table, the pit was freaking out literally. It was only a $5 to $100 table but within an hour all players were betting black on every spot and won many thousands. Only a fool would have got up and only a fool would have ignored what was going on. I have seen other tables similar but nothing quite like this one,,,that night.

CP
 
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