standard deviation

SleightOfHand

Well-Known Member
#21
1357111317 said:
Before you ridicule us Flash please keep in mind that our betting patterns are usually the complete opposite of the betting patterns of a card counter. More often than not we have our max bet on the felt on the first three hands of the shoe since the good cards ususally end up at the top. As well we usually only have one of us making the big bets so we aren't all making similar bets at the same time.
You mean that only 1 teammate is betting 10u while everyone is still betting low? Whats the point of having all those people? Does this mean that at negative counts you are betting a combined 3u and at high counts 10-15u (assuming you guys at least raise your bets a little during high counts). A combined 1-5 spread doesn't sound that strong (although I may be missing something ST related)
 

moo321

Well-Known Member
#24
Why don't you just take your 3 man team, break up and go back-count shoes. This weird shuffle tracking you're doing isn't even overcoming the house edge.
 

Kasi

Well-Known Member
#25
1357111317 said:
You would be surprised kasi. .
No biig deal 1357111317 lol.

Mind if i just callyou Prime Time or something lol?

I didn't even say what I meant very well anyway - I meant it's millions to 1 a flat-betting BS player could lose 200 units in 1250 handJust my cop-out since I have no idea about what's expected from shuffle-tracking and I know you're spreading etc.

But, more basically, why even worry if it's better or worse than whatever, worry about whether what's happened is a "little" bad luck opr a lot. But that's harder to know when you don't know what's "supposed" to happen lol.
 

Sonny

Well-Known Member
#26
1357111317 said:
How many standard deviations would losing 200 units in 25 hours of play be (50 hands an hour or 1250 hands)?
For a flat bettor that would be about 5 standard deviation. If your average bet is 4 units then your loss of 200/4 = 50 units is only about 1.23 standard deviations. An average bet of 2 units would be about 2.5 standard deviations.

-Sonny-
 

1357111317

Well-Known Member
#27
moo321 said:
Why don't you just take your 3 man team, break up and go back-count shoes. This weird shuffle tracking you're doing isn't even overcoming the house edge.
Bad rules and bad pen doesn't make for great counting at my casino.
 

moo321

Well-Known Member
#28
1357111317 said:
Bad rules and bad pen doesn't make for great counting at my casino.
But, bad rules and bad pen with back-counting is better than what you're doing. Youre at least expected to make money in the long run.
 

1357111317

Well-Known Member
#29
Moo I just want to make sure you fully understand what I am doing because to me is just seems like when you are increasing your bet significantly when the count is about to plummet has to be +EV

Oh and also backcounting is not an option either at my casino.

And if anyone wants to know exactly what we are doing I'd be glad to share it with you in a PM.
 
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