Variance is evil

Recently, I was playing a DD game with excellent rules, including 90% pen, spreading 1-15. In an hour, I was down close to 200 units.

Fortunately, I got most of it back in the next hour.

If variance was a current event it would be the BP Oil Spill.

I hear you, man. The down swing can really break one's nerves. That is why I have to give a lot of credit to people like Kewljason who play BJ for a living.

Yes. Attention-getting, but no big deal in the long run.

I like Snyder's take on variance, that it's the only thing that allows us to continue playing.

I have learned to look at variance exactly the same way as Monkey, and I guess Snyder, although I personally don't remember reading his view. While varience is indeed a bitch, it is what prevents the masses from playing a winning game and allows us to do so. Without it, the industry would stop offering any kind of beatable game, so variance is actually your friend. I know this thinking is of little consequence when you hit one of those substantial downslides though.

Just for the record, my original title was different than what appears. The mods edited it

I understand (and tolerate) variance just fine. However, it always gets my wife. I keep saying, "it doesn't matter. Think long term."

However, to get hit like that on such an amazing game is still noteworthy. House edge less than 0.2%, etc. I'm sure some AP will have a similar experience during an upcoming promo on the east coast where player edge is +1.5%.

Best Games = Biggest Losses

One will have the biggest losses playing the best games because they will be betting big and one cannot escape variance.:joker::whip:

...sadly now that WoO has posted about it in his most recent update I think there might be trouble getting a table.

From the WOO site it looks like it will also be offered on SP21. A better game in many ways and should be able to get seats there. Sorry I'll miss out though 1.5% for 24hrs combined with the bet cap doesn't make it glorious, mostly just a treat for the regulars.
-BW

automonk's response to dyepaintball's analogy to the gulf oil spill

I wish there was a head shaking animoticon for this. Or a forehead smacking one. monkey, you should get a show like glen beck. you're really good at saying head turning comments.


I agree that variance is what keeps everyone from counting as a road to riches. but is this rocky road worth taking?