Hi everyone,
First off, a little introduction. I'm an engineering student interested in blackjack, but I'm not old enough to go to a b+m casino, nor do I live close enough to one to be able to. Plus, I'm not sure I would if I could, except out of sheer curiosity.
Anyway, down to the point: based on a number of assumptions, I think it might be possible to profit from online blackjack through the use of computer automation. In other words, the way I see it, the only way to consistently win against online casinos is to use a piece of software custom-written for online casinos. I realize there are lots of programs out there which will help you count cards, tell you what to do based on strategies, etc., but what I'm considering is slightly different, and I think a lot more in-depth. Here is a (probably incomplete) list of the "prerequisites" for this to work:
I'm fairly confident about the first two, but not so much about the third one. That's why I'm posting this here: does anyone have any advice on how to come up with a strategy fine-tuned to online blackjack, keeping in mind the processing power of a computer? I have a fair amount of programming experience, so I'm not worried about being able to simulate mouse clicks, etc. in the program.
I understand it's not possible to win using only basic strategy. My thought right now would be to look at all of the cards out there (the dealer's up card plus everyone who's playing) and remove those from the cards available. Then the program would run through all of the possible combinations and bet a certain amount which would vary based on the most likely outcome. So it's sort of like a counting system, except slightly more sophisticated in that it utilizes a lot more probability than humans are capable of, and the number of cards known is much smaller.
I'd like to come up with a theoretical basis for why this could potentially work before I actually put a lot of work into it. I know that I can come up with the bot, but I'd like to know for sure -- mathematically -- that I could potentially turn a profit.
Thanks for any thoughts on this!
First off, a little introduction. I'm an engineering student interested in blackjack, but I'm not old enough to go to a b+m casino, nor do I live close enough to one to be able to. Plus, I'm not sure I would if I could, except out of sheer curiosity.
Anyway, down to the point: based on a number of assumptions, I think it might be possible to profit from online blackjack through the use of computer automation. In other words, the way I see it, the only way to consistently win against online casinos is to use a piece of software custom-written for online casinos. I realize there are lots of programs out there which will help you count cards, tell you what to do based on strategies, etc., but what I'm considering is slightly different, and I think a lot more in-depth. Here is a (probably incomplete) list of the "prerequisites" for this to work:
- the ability for a piece of software to interface with the online casino and simulate an actual person clicking inside a browser
- the availability of favorable games on a regular basis -- if you have to wait hours for a "winnable" game to show up, it probably wouldn't be worth the effort
- the theoretical ability to win using only strategies (i.e., no counting)
I'm fairly confident about the first two, but not so much about the third one. That's why I'm posting this here: does anyone have any advice on how to come up with a strategy fine-tuned to online blackjack, keeping in mind the processing power of a computer? I have a fair amount of programming experience, so I'm not worried about being able to simulate mouse clicks, etc. in the program.
I understand it's not possible to win using only basic strategy. My thought right now would be to look at all of the cards out there (the dealer's up card plus everyone who's playing) and remove those from the cards available. Then the program would run through all of the possible combinations and bet a certain amount which would vary based on the most likely outcome. So it's sort of like a counting system, except slightly more sophisticated in that it utilizes a lot more probability than humans are capable of, and the number of cards known is much smaller.
I'd like to come up with a theoretical basis for why this could potentially work before I actually put a lot of work into it. I know that I can come up with the bot, but I'd like to know for sure -- mathematically -- that I could potentially turn a profit.
Thanks for any thoughts on this!