psyduck said:
I have alway been interested in what kind of swing hole carders and shuffle trackers have experienced in comparison to straight counting, but I do not remember seeing this kind of information here. Anyone?
From what I have read, a blackjack player and a HC player betting the same kelly fraction will experience the same swings, but the higher the edge the faster the swings happen. By this I mean they both have the same chance of doubling or halving their bankroll, which may be different than "swings."
I am currently on a 1 month 43k(half of my all time high) losing streak, mostly on high edge games. I just came back from a trip where I lost 7/7 HC sessions, most on a game better (I think) than 3CP. Makes me think (briefly) about going back to counting or just playing easy HC games like 3cp or blackjack (if I can find it.) At least then I would know my edge and have full confidence in my play. My plan is to have a pro evaluate my game, and then keep on truckin. Next time I reach an ATH I will probably scale down to quarter Kelly. Let me tell ya, betting half kelly at high edge situations is a wild ride. The winning side of it is amazing though. My best 2 months this year I went from 30k to 80k. I still had some big losses during that time, had to play through 2 CTRs.