My frist sign of heat

#22
10-120 isn't high enough for heat in most places. The pit boss probably just noticed you're betting $120 and adjusted your rating in the computer. So you'll get more comps. That's a good thing.

Although at +18, I would be betting purple and maybe paying the ploppies to not play. Your edge is so high at +18 and those counts rarely happen. Should have let the $120 bet ride after a win so you could get more money on the felt.
 

aslan

Well-Known Member
#23
paddywhack said:
And backoff at your own peril :laugh::eek:
At times they know you are counting, but they allow you to play, keeping a close watch on you. So long as you don't pose a threat, there's no need to act rashly. However, should you get down a thousand, well, that may be a good time to back you off. Hey, what's sauce for the goose is sauce for the gander. :grin:
 

rrwoods

Well-Known Member
#24
alwayssplitaces said:
Although at +18, I would be betting purple and maybe paying the ploppies to not play. Your edge is so high at +18 and those counts rarely happen. Should have let the $120 bet ride after a win so you could get more money on the felt.
... Depending on BR, RoR requirements, desired level of deviation...

My max bet is at +7. If the true is +18, I'm still placing the same bet.
 

FLASH1296

Well-Known Member
#25

If your MAX bet is reached, do not exceed it.

Reigning in the extreme fluctuations of the game is well-served this way.

Betting (relatively) high and NOT increasing your bet is the best camouflage there is
 

paddywhack

Well-Known Member
#26
FLASH1296 said:

If your MAX bet is reached, do not exceed it.

Reigning in the extreme fluctuations of the game is well-served this way.

Betting (relatively) high and NOT increasing your bet is the best camouflage there is
That may not always agree with your camouflage if you've been chipping up. I haven't seen too many ploppies with "set" max bets when they keep winning.
 
#27
The art involved in progression betting is incorporating plateaus or up and pull at unusually high levels. Even returning to your base bet without a loss. If you dont do this you leave most of your profit on the table after a big run.

I am not trying to imply ploppies are that smart. This is obvious to any AP. Our ramps are progressions based on other things and do not require a loss to go to minimum bet.
 

Gamblor

Well-Known Member
#28
It's a judgement call on high you should push your bet, depending on things like heat of course.

Had a good run, where I had my bet significantly above 15 units, and was severely tempted to push it much higher. But noticed the floor person hovering around my table like a buzzard. Not direct heat, like glaring at the table, but someone starting to take note (I think we all know the move). So I didn't push it.

And as Flash mentioned, its also better for variance not to make too huge of a bet. Guess I'm sometimes a variance chicken too. :laugh:
 

aslan

Well-Known Member
#29
Gamblor said:
It's a judgement call on high you should push your bet, depending on things like heat of course.

Had a good run, where I had my bet significantly above 15 units, and was severely tempted to push it much higher. But noticed the floor person hovering around my table like a buzzard. Not direct heat, like glaring at the table, but someone starting to take note (I think we all know the move). So I didn't push it.

And as Flash mentioned, its also better for variance not to make too huge of a bet. Guess I'm sometimes a variance chicken too. :laugh:
Screw variance if your bankroll can afford it, but I agree to react to the prevailing heat.
 
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