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July 23rd, 2008, 03:51 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 3
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5 blackjacks in one game? 4 players, 2 decks.
How did this happen? My first time going to a casino I scored 5 blackjacks in ONE game.. There were 3 other players, and it was a 2 deck deck. The dealer commented on it, and the other players were astounded (and quite angry, to be honest.) All of this was done in front of the cameras, I didn't know the dealer or anything like that. I watched the cards being shuffled and she did a damn good job.
Just curious as to if anyone is good at probability, and could tell me the chances of someone getting 5 blackjacks under these circumstances...
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July 23rd, 2008, 06:50 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Midwest
Posts: 1,308
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Very nice
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Joker
How did this happen? My first time going to a casino I scored 5 blackjacks in ONE game.. There were 3 other players, and it was a 2 deck deck. The dealer commented on it, and the other players were astounded (and quite angry, to be honest.) All of this was done in front of the cameras, I didn't know the dealer or anything like that. I watched the cards being shuffled and she did a damn good job.
Just curious as to if anyone is good at probability, and could tell me the chances of someone getting 5 blackjacks under these circumstances...
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Playing DD as a specialty I have seen situations very similar to this, not infrequently. But 5 in one game to the same person is an annomaly, enjoy and congrats.
CP
__________________
"Midwest Masters Of Advantage", "Strength and Honor."
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July 23rd, 2008, 08:36 AM
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: San Diego
Posts: 3,193
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By "one game" you mean, what? One shuffle of the two decks? One session sitting down?
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July 23rd, 2008, 10:12 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 4,750
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Quote:
Originally Posted by creeping panther
Playing DD as a specialty I have seen situations very similar to this, not infrequently. But 5 in one game to the same person is an annomaly, enjoy and congrats.
CP
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just curious stealthy one. i've never had the pleasure of playing DD.
what would be the poorest DD game that you would still consider playing?
__________________
best regards,
mr fr0g  MMOA honorary predator
STRENGTH - HONOR - HEART
that's my take on it your mileage may vary.
for senior citizen fuzzy count click link:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DrTiP4ZIUfI
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July 23rd, 2008, 02:24 PM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 1,902
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Joker
Just curious as to if anyone is good at probability, and could tell me the chances of someone getting 5 blackjacks under these circumstances...
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The probability of it happening is approximately C(n,5)*P^5*(1-P)^(n-5), where P is the probability of blackjack and n is the number of hands dealt.
If you were dealt 10 rounds on an infinite deck, the probability of getting x blackjacks is as follows:
Code:
x Probability
0 0.61573
1 0.30595
2 0.06841
3 0.00906
4 0.00079
5 0.00005
(the probability for double deck will be different, and getting 5 blackjacks will be even lower than the formula predicts because you're using up aces in the first few blackjacks)
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July 24th, 2008, 09:23 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 747
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You ask why this happened. The probability being unlikely doesn't mean it's impossible, just rare. Would the others be amazed/mad if you got five 16's in a game?
Quote:
Originally Posted by callipygian
The probability of it happening is approximately C(n,5)*P^5*(1-P)^(n-5), where P is the probability of blackjack and n is the )
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July 24th, 2008, 11:47 AM
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: England
Posts: 231
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GeorgeD
You ask why this happened. The probability being unlikely doesn't mean it's impossible, just rare. Would the others be amazed/mad if you got five 16's in a game?
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No because it is much more likely to get a 16 than a blackjack is it not?
__________________
Fail to prepare
Prepare to fail
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July 24th, 2008, 09:01 PM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Midwest
Posts: 1,308
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Rhino
Quote:
Originally Posted by EasyRhino
By "one game" you mean, what? One shuffle of the two decks? One session sitting down?
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Hello,
I meant in one *slipper*.
CP
__________________
"Midwest Masters Of Advantage", "Strength and Honor."
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July 24th, 2008, 09:15 PM
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Midwest
Posts: 1,308
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Croak...Croak
Quote:
Originally Posted by sagefr0g
just curious stealthy one. i've never had the pleasure of playing DD.
what would be the poorest DD game that you would still consider playing?
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Hello Sage,
Probably different than what most would think as "good". It is more a combination of small seemingly inconsequential things. Most place to much emphasis on certain *popular* options without fully understanding the power of some others. It is very much a combination of options, and comfort level that will allow a "BJ Warrior" to go -all out- and play in the No Holds Barred style.
Best to you,
CP
__________________
"Midwest Masters Of Advantage", "Strength and Honor."
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July 24th, 2008, 09:39 PM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 4,750
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Quote:
Originally Posted by creeping panther
Hello Sage,
Probably different than what most would think as "good". It is more a combination of small seemingly inconsequential things. Most place to much emphasis on certain *popular* options without fully understanding the power of some others. It is very much a combination of options, and comfort level that will allow a "BJ Warrior" to go -all out- and play in the No Holds Barred style.
Best to you,
CP
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thank you for the critique cp.
so maybe if i'm understanding correctly if your able to maintain that honored stealth you posses while still exercising your famed strength then the popular options aren't protection for your prey as most might think.
__________________
best regards,
mr fr0g  MMOA honorary predator
STRENGTH - HONOR - HEART
that's my take on it your mileage may vary.
for senior citizen fuzzy count click link:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DrTiP4ZIUfI
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