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Old August 3rd, 2008, 02:08 AM
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Default Casino Blames Income Drop On Gamblers' Luck

Casino Blames Income Drop On Gamblers' Luck

POSTED: 9:35 am EDT August 1, 2008
UPDATED: 12:23 pm EDT August 1, 2008

UNCASVILLE, Conn. -- Mohegan Sun officials said the casino's net income in the third quarter dropped 89 percent compared with the same period last year, and they're placing some of the blame on gamblers' extraordinary luck.

The Mohegan Tribal Gaming Authority reported net income of $5 million Thursday for the three months ending June 30.

Mitchell Etess, Mohegan Sun's president and chief executive officer, said the casino had an extremely long streak of bad luck.

Gamblers played about $611 million at table games during the quarter, a 6.4 percent increase. The casino kept about 11.6 percent of that gambling money, nearly 5 percent less than it did during last year's quarter.

Table game revenues dropped more than 25 percent to $75.3 million in the third quarter from the year-ago period.
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Old August 3rd, 2008, 07:44 AM
21forme 21forme is offline
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Sounds a little fishy, doesn't it? Unless there were some BIG jackpots paid...
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  #3  
Old August 3rd, 2008, 08:10 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aslan View Post
Casino Blames Income Drop On Gamblers' Luck

POSTED: 9:35 am EDT August 1, 2008
UPDATED: 12:23 pm EDT August 1, 2008

UNCASVILLE, Conn. -- Mohegan Sun officials said the casino's net income in the third quarter dropped 89 percent compared with the same period last year, and they're placing some of the blame on gamblers' extraordinary luck.

The Mohegan Tribal Gaming Authority reported net income of $5 million Thursday for the three months ending June 30.

Mitchell Etess, Mohegan Sun's president and chief executive officer, said the casino had an extremely long streak of bad luck.

Gamblers played about $611 million at table games during the quarter, a 6.4 percent increase. The casino kept about 11.6 percent of that gambling money, nearly 5 percent less than it did during last year's quarter.

Table game revenues dropped more than 25 percent to $75.3 million in the third quarter from the year-ago period.

I suppose as the popularity of BJ continues, so does the Resources, and the "once was" ploppys, who played so poorly are being slowly converted into BS players over time. Provided that this is true, it would have a Profound effect on the Overall House edge. From about 5-10% to about 1%.

Though, this wouldnt be the entire reason for the Casino's drop, I do feel it play's a role.
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Last edited by jack,jackson; August 3rd, 2008 at 08:31 AM.
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  #4  
Old August 3rd, 2008, 08:25 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aslan View Post
Casino Blames Income Drop On Gamblers' Luck

POSTED: 9:35 am EDT August 1, 2008
UPDATED: 12:23 pm EDT August 1, 2008

UNCASVILLE, Conn. -- Mohegan Sun officials said the casino's net income in the third quarter dropped 89 percent compared with the same period last year, and they're placing some of the blame on gamblers' extraordinary luck.

The Mohegan Tribal Gaming Authority reported net income of $5 million Thursday for the three months ending June 30.

Mitchell Etess, Mohegan Sun's president and chief executive officer, said the casino had an extremely long streak of bad luck.

Gamblers played about $611 million at table games during the quarter, a 6.4 percent increase. The casino kept about 11.6 percent of that gambling money, nearly 5 percent less than it did during last year's quarter.

Table game revenues dropped more than 25 percent to $75.3 million in the third quarter from the year-ago period.
maybe a black swan incident. or like one.
http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/GIF.pdf
could a team or a series of teams inflict near 25% of $100 million in three months?
i wonder how many standard deviations that would be.......

do you have a link for that story aslan?
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that's my take on it your mileage may vary.
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Last edited by sagefr0g; August 3rd, 2008 at 08:41 AM.
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Old August 3rd, 2008, 12:09 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sagefr0g View Post
maybe a black swan incident. or like one.
http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/GIF.pdf
could a team or a series of teams inflict near 25% of $100 million in three months?
i wonder how many standard deviations that would be.......

do you have a link for that story aslan?
So which newspaper is correct?
This one blames it on energy prices..

Mohegan, Conn. — "Far less profitable than we would have liked" is how Bruce Bozsum, chairman of the Mohegan tribe, described third quarter Mohegan Tribal Gaming Authority financial report this morning.

Net income for the authority was down 89 percent from the same period the previous year, a drop from $45.million to $5 million. Bozsum said the New England market is seeing some of the highest gas and energy costs in the nation, which is influencing how much gamblers are bringing to the table. Mitchell Etess, the authority's chief executive officer, said the economic woes in Connecticut are not nearly as bad as those seen in such other markets as Atlantic City.
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Old August 3rd, 2008, 02:00 PM
jimpenn jimpenn is offline
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Sounds like every Casino Financial I have read reported substantial loss. Forget the Indians and attempting to uncover paper trail. I believe it's just another part of strategy to stop the rapid approval of additional Indian casino's throughout country.
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Old August 3rd, 2008, 05:00 PM
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Originally Posted by sagefr0g View Post

do you have a link for that story aslan?
http://www.wnbc.com/news/17060607/detail.html
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Old August 3rd, 2008, 05:42 PM
mdlbj mdlbj is offline
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pw0nd!!!

Quote:
Originally Posted by aslan View Post
Casino Blames Income Drop On Gamblers' Luck

POSTED: 9:35 am EDT August 1, 2008
UPDATED: 12:23 pm EDT August 1, 2008

UNCASVILLE, Conn. -- Mohegan Sun officials said the casino's net income in the third quarter dropped 89 percent compared with the same period last year, and they're placing some of the blame on gamblers' extraordinary luck.

The Mohegan Tribal Gaming Authority reported net income of $5 million Thursday for the three months ending June 30.

Mitchell Etess, Mohegan Sun's president and chief executive officer, said the casino had an extremely long streak of bad luck.

Gamblers played about $611 million at table games during the quarter, a 6.4 percent increase. The casino kept about 11.6 percent of that gambling money, nearly 5 percent less than it did during last year's quarter.

Table game revenues dropped more than 25 percent to $75.3 million in the third quarter from the year-ago period.
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Old August 4th, 2008, 10:12 PM
Kasi Kasi is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sagefr0g View Post
could a team or a series of teams inflict near 25% of $100 million in three months?
i wonder how many standard deviations that would be.......
do you have a link for that story aslan?
Here's what I think that reporter meant to say.

The $hold, as a percentage increase in actual $'s of chips bought went up 6.4% from last year to this, from $611MM last year to $650MM this year. Gamblers did not "play" $611MM which makes it sound like wagering in last last year's quarter, they "bought-in" for $611MM of chips.

Last year's quarter revenue was $611MM of chips purchased *a hold % of .165 or $100.8MM of revenue. This years quarter was $650MM of chips bought but a hold % of only .116 for $75.4MM in revenue. That's the decrease of $25MM in revenue and the 5% drop he mentions.

So, actually, table-game people actually bought in for more dollars compared to last year.

And, likely, "table games" includes alot more games than BJ anyway. So, between how meaningless "hold" is and having all table games lumped together too, I just don't see how anybody can conclude anything from it.
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Old August 4th, 2008, 11:02 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasi View Post
Here's what I think that reporter meant to say.

The $hold, as a percentage increase in actual $'s of chips bought went up 6.4% from last year to this, from $611MM last year to $650MM this year. Gamblers did not "play" $611MM which makes it sound like wagering in last last year's quarter, they "bought-in" for $611MM of chips.

Last year's quarter revenue was $611MM of chips purchased *a hold % of .165 or $100.8MM of revenue. This years quarter was $650MM of chips bought but a hold % of only .116 for $75.4MM in revenue. That's the decrease of $25MM in revenue and the 5% drop he mentions.

So, actually, table-game people actually bought in for more dollars compared to last year.

And, likely, "table games" includes alot more games than BJ anyway. So, between how meaningless "hold" is and having all table games lumped together too, I just don't see how anybody can conclude anything from it.
yeah like probably the wizard of odds couldn't even guesstimate it.
so but supposedly the casino bean counters could i guess.
thing was the casino gave the impression they thought they had been unlucky and the gamblers lucky. so i was thinking if they were being real and upfront about it then it would be like one of us warriors (moi for instance in my original sagefr0g vs ghostrider conflict) taking some deep standard deviation hit and bemoaning the fact.
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STRENGTH - HONOR - HEART
that's my take on it your mileage may vary.
for senior citizen fuzzy count click link:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DrTiP4ZIUfI
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