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September 1st, 2008, 05:20 AM
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 128
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my progressive betting system
everytime when u lost 150 bets
then try to bet larger to win back 100 bets
if u play $1 flat bet and lost $150
then try to play $3 flat bet until u win back $300
dont try to rise your bet before u lost 150 bets (and sure u are doing perfect bs not play in a nonsense way)
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September 1st, 2008, 06:25 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 593
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Progression Don't Work
Progressions don't work. Many on this site will tell you that your plan and progressions don't work. Progressions are so easy to use that if they worked casinos would be out of business. 
Number of posters who think your plan will not work.
1
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September 1st, 2008, 06:37 AM
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: England
Posts: 231
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackjack avenger
number of posters who think your plan will not work.
1
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2
__________________
Fail to prepare
Prepare to fail
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September 1st, 2008, 10:33 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 4,750
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beyondbj
everytime when u lost 150 bets
then try to bet larger to win back 100 bets
if u play $1 flat bet and lost $150
then try to play $3 flat bet until u win back $300
dont try to rise your bet before u lost 150 bets (and sure u are doing perfect bs not play in a nonsense way)
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Quote:
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number of posters who think your plan will not work.
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3 
IMHO your limiting your luck factor   too much. you'd need to make over three standard deviations just to win back what you lost (ie. $150) much less end up with $300.
for the given game s17daslrs eight decks 7 players (note: i just chose some game out of thin air. if you was playing a pos ev single deck game things might be differant)
1st image is for $1 bets
2nd image is for $3 bets
3rd image show your probability of making $150 in three hundred hands (circa 3 hrs play) if your unit is three dollars. sorry, not sure but i think the probability would be the same if you played for ever.
__________________
best regards,
mr fr0g  MMOA honorary predator
STRENGTH - HONOR - HEART
that's my take on it your mileage may vary.
for senior citizen fuzzy count click link:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DrTiP4ZIUfI
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September 1st, 2008, 10:56 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Minnesota
Posts: 1,289
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4
Raising my bet to $3 would only allow me to lose money faster. I’ve never understood how simply raising my bet would give me an advantage.
I’ve also never understood how taking a break, also known as quitting while ahead, would give me an advantage, but that’s a different deal.
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September 1st, 2008, 11:11 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 747
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Canceler
4
Raising my bet to $3 would only allow me to lose money faster. I’ve never understood how simply raising my bet would give me an advantage.
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It's just chasing your losses. Chronic gambler behavior,
Quote:
Originally Posted by Canceler
4
I’ve also never understood how taking a break, also known as quitting while ahead, would give me an advantage, but that’s a different deal.
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Then you can tell people you had a winning session. Just don't tell them about your losing session.
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September 1st, 2008, 12:25 PM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: NYC
Posts: 5,248
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GeorgeD
It's just chasing your losses. Chronic gambler behavior,
Then you can tell people you had a winning session. Just don't tell them about your losing session.
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There is something pyscological about hving a winning session.
__________________
Only those who will risk going too far can possibly find out just how far one can go.
We cannot direct the wind, we can only adjust our sails.
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September 1st, 2008, 12:47 PM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 4,750
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Canceler
4
Raising my bet to $3 would only allow me to lose money faster. I’ve never understood how simply raising my bet would give me an advantage.
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just voodoo but it's fun and interesting foolin with the idea:
http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/show...4&postcount=70
Quote:
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I’ve also never understood how taking a break, also known as quitting while ahead, would give me an advantage, but that’s a different deal.
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no advantage really maybe the disadvantage of doin it can be mitigate some what by doin it lol: more voodoo
http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/show...0&postcount=73
__________________
best regards,
mr fr0g  MMOA honorary predator
STRENGTH - HONOR - HEART
that's my take on it your mileage may vary.
for senior citizen fuzzy count click link:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DrTiP4ZIUfI
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September 1st, 2008, 04:31 PM
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 128
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from my experience and many players exp
they max lost is around 150
after i play 100000 hands , i only experience once lost 150 bets
so thats why my assumption is to raise bet after lost 150 bets
of coz dont choose game rule very large -EV , it will make u easier lose more or faster
gamble is gamble , just play it at a wiser way , actually most time u will play in flat bet min size only
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September 2nd, 2008, 11:03 AM
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Moderator
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Los Angeles, CA
Posts: 3,967
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beyondbj
after i play 100000 hands , i only experience once lost 150 bets
so thats why my assumption is to raise bet after lost 150 bets
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So after 1,000 hours of play you only found one opportunity to raise your bet? You might as well flat bet the whole time. It is easier and you will lose less money. You would expect to raise your bet after every 30,000 hands. By that time, you have pretty much no chance of getting your money back by flat betting.
Still, it’s about as safe as a progression system can get. The only thing safer would be Bryce Carlson’s progression system: Start with 1 unit and decrease after any win, loss or push. Grosjean suggests starting at zero units, but we came here to gamble, right?
-Sonny-
__________________
It's not the size of your bankroll, it's how you leverage it!
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