What's my RoR?

[dough_boi]

Hey everyone, so I've been grinding it out at the black tables for the past few months and I've just hit the 210 hours. I initially started with a 10k bankroll and I'm at 28k as of now. In that time, I've made $15,700. I've been using the zen count in 8 deck shoes, AC rules, 85% penetration with wonging in and out using a 1-10 spread. If anybody can sim me my RoR, it would be greatly appreciated.



Bankroll = $25,000.00
Advantage per TC/ Fully Kelly/ 64% Kelly/ Actual
TC 0 --> -0.04% -$11.00 -$7.04 $25.00
TC 1 --> -0.01% -$2.50 -$1.60 $25.00
TC 2 --> 0.30% $75.00 $48.00 $50.00
TC 3 --> 0.61% $152.50 $97.60 $100.00
TC 4 --> 0.93% $232.50 $148.80 $150.00
TC 5 --> 1.22% $305.00 $195.20 $200.00
TC 6 --> 1.58% $395.00 $252.80 $250.00

[standard toaster]

whats your bet spread in units?
i know you said 1-10 but what at what tc

[dough_boi]

the spread I'm using is stated above
tc 1 or less = $25
tc 2 = $50
tc 3 = $100
tc 4 = $150
tc 5 = $200
tc 6 = $250

[Hogg]

Cant go wrong with that. But i would change the tc 5 and 6 to

tc 1 or less = $25
tc 2 = $50
tc 3 = $100
tc 4 = $150
tc 5 = $300
tc 6 = $600

On multiple spots

[matt21]

sounds like you are having a great run! and 85% pen! wow!

can i ask you: did you start with $25 units? or did you use $10 units when you had a $10k BR?

[Sonny]

With a 1120-unit bankroll your RoR is less than 1%. Between your nice bankroll and your Wonging you are playing nice and safe. It also helps that you've been pretty lucky so far. With your original $10k bankroll your RoR was probably around 15%. The fact that you've been winning about double your EV so far has given your bankroll the boost it needed to stay alive. You're in good shape now.

-Sonny-

[dough_boi]

started off with $5-$100 spread and worked my way up. I've always made sure I had 100 max bets though in my bankroll.

attached is the betting schedule I've used so far

[dough_boi]

Originally Posted by Sonny

With a 1120-unit bankroll your RoR is less than 1%. Between your nice bankroll and your Wonging you are playing nice and safe. It also helps that you've been pretty lucky so far. With your original $10k bankroll your RoR was probably around 15%. The fact that you've been winning about double your EV so far has given your bankroll the boost it needed to stay alive. You're in good shape now.

-Sonny-

Thanks sonny, I was thinking it should be around 1% but less than 1% is great news.

[rukus]

Originally Posted by dough_boi

Thanks sonny, I was thinking it should be around 1% but less than 1% is great news.

just FYI, in your spreadsheet, i see you are sizing you bets based purely on %advantage at each TC. you need to divide by variance as well.

and what made you choose 64% kelly as opposed to 60% or 66.66% or 70%? just curious on that one.

[dough_boi]

Well to factor in variance, that's why i chose to go 64% kelly and not full kelly. The reason I chose 64% is because I get close to 100 max bets.