How to work out ROR - Help PLease

[celadore]

Hi,

Am looking to up my bets to the next level and would appreciate some help on working out my RoR.

System: Hi-Lo
6 Deck, S17, DAS, EarlySurrender
Penetration: 75%
Bankroll: $10,000
Betting system:
TC -2: Wong Out (or $5)
TC 0: $5
TC 1: $20
TC 2: 2*$50
TC 3: 2*$50
TC 4: 2*$100
TC 5: 2*$100
TC 6+: 2*$150
E.V. $15 per 100 hands

Thanks

[mjbballar23]

I assume you mean late surrender. Also assuming you wong out at negative counts i get a win rate of $55 per 100 hands and a risk of ruin of 4.3% with a 10k bankroll.

Source: CVCX simulation software

[celadore]

Yes, Late surrender - (No surrender allowed on A).

Thanks

[PrinceDragon]

Guess what, if you can find a dealer cut 1 deck off...the SCORE is over 100

Hope this helps

P.D.

[celadore]

SuperSweet! Thanks. (I did have a dealer who cut 1 deck once, but the pit boss stopped him on the next shoe ).

Are those win/loss percentages accurate for a 75% pen too? I have been working my calcs off 0.5% change in advantage for every 1 change in true count, but the stats above say it is more. Correct?

[PrinceDragon]

I have been working my calcs off 0.5% change in advantage for every 1 change in true count, but the stats above say it is more. Correct?

That's the POWER of LS

Adv will be around 2%,for 75% pen(because you are spreading 1-40)
But practically,it will be a bit lower in the real world play,since most likely you will play some hands in the twi-light zone.

P.D.

[Sonny]

Originally Posted by celadore

Yes, Late surrender - (No surrender allowed on A).

Is it late surrender or early surrender against 2-10? If you cannot surrender at all against an ace then it might be early surrender.

-Sonny-

[SD Padres]

Originally Posted by celadore

Hi,

Am looking to up my bets to the next level and would appreciate some help on working out my RoR.

System: Hi-Lo
6 Deck, S17, DAS, EarlySurrender
Penetration: 75%
Bankroll: $10,000
Betting system:
TC -2: Wong Out (or $5)
TC 0: $5
TC 1: $20
TC 2: 2*$50
TC 3: 2*$50
TC 4: 2*$100
TC 5: 2*$100
TC 6+: 2*$150
E.V. $15 per 100 hands

Thanks

Are you able to get away with that spread without drawing any heat?

[celadore]

Originally Posted by Sonny

Is it late surrender or early surrender against 2-10? If you cannot surrender at all against an ace then it might be early surrender.

-Sonny-

Dealer gets one card on deal. You can surrender any two cards against the dealer BEFORE taking a card yourself, except if the dealer is showing an A. I thought this was early surrender, but when I looked up the definitions for early and late surrender, I got confused.

Are there any surrender indices I should be aware of? Am still splitting 8's against a 10 at any count and this doesn't seem right.

[celadore]

Originally Posted by SD Padres

Are you able to get away with that spread without drawing any heat?

Yes, have already thrown down some pretty heavy cover and convinced pit bosses i'm a degenerate gambler. But since the actual EV is much higher then I was expecting, have decided to reduce max bets to 2*$100 and TC 4+5 to 2*$75. Spread is about 1:27.