Hot Date with Hot Shoe?

K

k_c

Well-Known Member
#2
#2
blackjack avenger said:
define hot shoe as:
4.5/6 tc3 with 2 decks dealt
What % of shoes becomes hot?:joker::whip:
Click to expand...
The best way to describe this data is that if 104 cards were randomly cut from a 6 deck shoe then these are the the probabilities relative to Hi-Lo for a running count of +6 and therefore TC = + 3. (Count tags are with respect to what remains in the shoe as opposed to what has been removed from it.)

Code: 
Count tags {1,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1,0,0,0,1}
Decks: 6
Cards remaining: 104
Initial running count (full shoe): 0
Running count: 6
Specific removals
        A: 0
        2: 0
        3: 0
        4: 0
        5: 0
        6: 0
        7: 0
        8: 0
        9: 0
        T: 0

Number of subsets for 104 cards remaining: 5037
Prob of RC= 6 from 6 decks: 0.0389694

p[1] 0.08268  p[2] 0.0711415  p[3] 0.0711415  p[4] 0.0711415  p[5] 0.0711415
p[6] 0.0711415  p[7] 0.0769641  p[8] 0.0769641  p[9] 0.0769641  p[10] 0.33072

Press x or X to exit program (it may take some time to close,)
any other key to enter more data for same count tags/decks:
 
sagefr0g

sagefr0g

Well-Known Member
#3
#3
blackjack avenger said:
define hot shoe as:
4.5/6 tc3 with 2 decks dealt
What % of shoes becomes hot?:joker::whip:
Click to expand...
this is some stuff from Wong's Professional Blackjack.
the f% is the frequency of the tc.
not exactly what you are looking for though as it's not data for at two decks dealt.
 

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N

Nynefingers

Well-Known Member
#5
#5
k_c said:
The best way to describe this data is that if 104 cards were randomly cut from a 6 deck shoe then these are the the probabilities relative to Hi-Lo for a running count of +6 and therefore TC = + 3. (Count tags are with respect to what remains in the shoe as opposed to what has been removed from it.)
Click to expand...
k_c, if I understand his question correctly, I think this should be 208 cards remaining and a running count of +12. He is asking for TC of +3 with 2 decks dealt, not 2 decks remaining. But maybe I misunderstood your numbers :eek:
 
K

k_c

Well-Known Member
#6
#6
Nynefingers said:
k_c, if I understand his question correctly, I think this should be 208 cards remaining and a running count of +12. He is asking for TC of +3 with 2 decks dealt, not 2 decks remaining. But maybe I misunderstood your numbers :eek:
Click to expand...
This is for RC = +12, 208 cards remain. My program was confusing in how it summarized the number of subsets/RC data, so I changed it.

Code: 
Count tags {1,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1,0,0,0,1}
Decks: 6
Cards remaining: 208
Initial running count (full shoe): 0
Running count: 12
Specific removals
        A: 0
        2: 0
        3: 0
        4: 0
        5: 0
        6: 0
        7: 0
        8: 0
        9: 0
        T: 0

Number of subsets for 208 cards remaining: 5037
Prob of RC=12 from 6 decks: 0.014239

p[1] 0.082661  p[2] 0.0711226  p[3] 0.0711226  p[4] 0.0711226  p[5] 0.0711226
p[6] 0.0711226  p[7] 0.0770273  p[8] 0.0770273  p[9] 0.0770273  p[10] 0.330644

Press x or X to exit program (it may take some time to close,)
any other key to enter more data for same count tags/decks:
This is for 156 cards remaining, RC = +9

Code: 
Count tags {1,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1,0,0,0,1}
Decks: 6
Cards remaining: 156
Initial running count (full shoe): 0
Running count: 9
Specific removals
        A: 0
        2: 0
        3: 0
        4: 0
        5: 0
        6: 0
        7: 0
        8: 0
        9: 0
        T: 0

Number of subsets for 156 cards remaining: 7501
Prob of RC=9 from 6 decks: 0.0262675

p[1] 0.0826923  p[2] 0.0711538  p[3] 0.0711538  p[4] 0.0711538  p[5] 0.0711538
p[6] 0.0711538  p[7] 0.0769231  p[8] 0.0769231  p[9] 0.0769231  p[10] 0.330769

Press x or X to exit program (it may take some time to close,)
any other key to enter more data for same count tags/decks:
 
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