Tracking Aces in Machine Shuffles?

#1
zengrifter said:
So you tried keying Aces at CSM? zg
Elhombre said:
Grifter,it's so.
I think it would be better, to don't tell it publik.
On the other side I like it to talk with experts like in this board and I can't
be so quiet.
Try it, try to remember always the latest or youngest 16-20 keys
and you will find unbroken or sequenzes with playable gaps between the 2
keyes.
I have made my stats and make them 4-5 times the week.
It's remarkeble.
the best elhombre.:cool2:
Elhombre refers to tracking Aces in CSM games. I myself have tracked Aces "successfully" in 2D auto-shufflers, like NYNY. It sure seemed to be working, and why the hell not? Or was I just "exploiting random noise" like the ExCAA would say? zg
 

NightStalker

Well-Known Member
#4
Which CSM model are you referring to?

I've recorded data for commonly used CSM. I think it is random and based on the algorithm used in the wheel to shuffle the cards- it sounds random to me,.. Please PM me with any details..
 
#5
NightStalker said:
I've recorded data for commonly used CSM. I think it is random and based on the algorithm used in the wheel to shuffle the cards- it sounds random to me,.. Please PM me with any details..
It still could maintain some Ace-key cohesiveness. Yes/No? zg
 

moo321

Well-Known Member
#9
Get a shuffle machine, run 10,000 trials and see how accurate you are, then do a hypothesis test to see if it's random noise.
 
#10
Okay, never mind the CSM. I have tracked Aces in 2D auto-shufflers.

Anyone care to chime that THAT was random noise?

Obviously Aces can be keyed in auto-shufflers, some anyway. zg
 

flyingwind

Well-Known Member
#11
zengrifter said:
Okay, never mind the CSM. I have tracked Aces in 2D auto-shufflers.

Anyone care to chime that THAT was random noise?

Obviously Aces can be keyed in auto-shufflers, some anyway. zg
What is the difference between 2D autoshuffler and CSM?

(Is CSM the one that sits on top of the table with a round part, and the dealer will occassionally take the 1/2 deck or so that's in the discard tray and put it into the machine?)

(Is 2D autoshuffler the machine that's in the back of the table, but it's top is flush with the table? Once the shoe is finished, then the dealer takes the whole shoeful of cards and puts into this machine, and reloads it using a second deck of cards that just came out the other side of the machine.)

I've tried ace sequencing with the second type of shuffler. Not very successful... any one else with good success on this?
 
#12
flyingwind said:
What is the difference between 2D autoshuffler and CSM?

(Is CSM the one that sits on top of the table with a round part, and the dealer will occassionally take the 1/2 deck or so that's in the discard tray and put it into the machine?)

(Is 2D autoshuffler the machine that's in the back of the table, but it's top is flush with the table? Once the shoe is finished, then the dealer takes the whole shoeful of cards and puts into this machine, and reloads it using a second deck of cards that just came out the other side of the machine.)
Yes and Yes - Autoshuffler is not 'continuous' zg
 

flyingwind

Well-Known Member
#15
zengrifter said:
Yes and Yes - Autoshuffler is not 'continuous' zg
I've seen at least two, possibly three, models of Autoshufflers. There may be more out there. I'm not sure about the internal mechanism of each shuffler though.

Ace keycarding in autoshufflers only works with 2D, right? - and even then, only with some autoshufflers, right? If there are 4, 6, or 8D, it's too difficult to accurately predict. And ace sequencing in multideck shoes is very variable, right?

I've heard that some Autoshufflers can be programmed via optical recognition to clump groups of cards together - like face cards, aces, or small cards. Is that just a rumor or is that true? And if it is true, isn't that immoral?
 

forwhat77

Well-Known Member
#16
I'm thankful for being able to play single and DD only, this is my only experience with this, as for 6 and 8 decks haahaa goodluck...But I can say this, I have seen it done on 6 decks.
 

forwhat77

Well-Known Member
#17
I've heard that some Autoshufflers can be programmed via optical recognition to clump groups of cards together - like face cards said:
I have tested this theory with about 50/50 accuracy, I can't say it's not luck.

Computers can do a hell of alot more than track bets, I tell ya that much!!
 

Elhombre

Well-Known Member
#18
Hi friends,
a bit heretic question :

What's the gain of tracking aces in CSM's.

Assume you get one more ace as usual, that's an advantage of 3% over
the house.
Is it really 3% or must I (sorry my English) deduct the house advantage
for example of 0.6 % ?

Ok assume you play at a table with 3 ploppies, for my experiances 4spots it's the best.
The chance the dealer gets the ace is small, but it happens don't bother.

The chance of getting an ace sequence with 4 spots is much higher as at
at full table.
If you play heads up it's better , but it' very hard to remember the keys
because the game is to fast and if you expect an ace you must play
3 other spots with min.

Now the gain: in an hour expect 4 big bets of $ 200 or EURO----huuuuuh,
(both are bull--in future)
3% advantage means $24,- hour, not very much and it's hard brainwork,

handshuffled games are much, much better, or wheelwatching in the same
casino.

The good news, the flux are small, 50 units are enough if someone has my
level.
I do it only for training purposes because the casino is 20 minutes by bike
or 40 minutes on foot.

And what I said wheel watching has much more gain, go to rouletteplace.com

or gamblersglen com, avoid the computer.

the best Elhombre:cool2::devil:
 

Elhombre

Well-Known Member
#19
Another thing to say: in the moment I am in a hole of 9 units,

it could happen 2 - 4 weeks when I am out.
that' the reallity.

Elhombre
 
#20
zengrifter said:
Elhombre refers to tracking Aces in CSM games. I myself have tracked Aces "successfully" in 2D auto-shufflers, like NYNY. It sure seemed to be working, and why the hell not? Or was I just "exploiting random noise" like the ExCAA would say? zg
The "real experts" have pronounced their reigning judgement-paradigm -
"impossible, just exploiting random noise" - which underscores why most APs and especially card counting experts are basically 'engineers'. Hombre, you are a heretic and the church doesn't like heretics! zg
 
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