NFL Selections

[Eye of the Tiger]

Post your NFL selections in this thread. I will be posting 5 plays per week just like the Hilton Contest. I have not done this in years so I might be a good fade or you can get a good laugh out of it. I will also keep my record up to date it will be won and lost only. If you are posting your plays also post your record. I am looking forward QFIT to post your plays if you are up to it. That's 5 per week. Back later in the week with plays.

[QFIT]

I don't see the point in five per week. It's kind of like saying I will make five max bets per BJ shoe. Shoes and weeks are different. If the point is to make money, bet when you have positive EV only.

[shadroch]

I tend to agree. There are weeks where you might have eight good picks, and weeks where there are none.
Post your best picks.

[Eye of the Tiger]

Originally Posted by QFIT

I don't see the point in five per week. It's kind of like saying I will make five max bets per BJ shoe. Shoes and weeks are different. If the point is to make money, bet when you have positive EV only.

The point for me is just FUN like the Hilton Contest to see where I would wind up. That's a total of 85 picks. I am going to be putting some time and effort into these picks. They will be no write ups or reasons for these pick just the lines. All games will be posted by 12:00 noon Saturday.

[Eye of the Tiger]

Hilton SuperContest Week # 1 Lines

nfl week #1

*denotes home team
pro football - thursday, september 8, 2011

1 packers* nbc 5:30 pm 2 saints + 4


pro football - sunday, september 11, 2011


3 ravens* 10:00 am 4 steelers + 2½

5 buccaneers* 10:00 am 6 lions + 1½

7 falcons 10:00 am 8 bears* + 3

9 chiefs* 10:00 am 10 bills + 6½

11 texans* 10:00 am 12 colts + 9

13 eagles 10:00 am 14 rams* + 4½

15 browns* 10:00 am 16 bengals + 6½

17 jaguars* 10:00 am 18 titans + 1½

19 giants 1:15 pm 20 redskins* + 3

21 cardinals* 1:15 pm 22 panthers + 7

23 49ers* 1:15 pm 24 seahawks + 5

25 chargers* 1:15 pm 26 vikings + 8½

27 jets* nbc 5:25 pm 28 cowboys + 4


pro football - monday, september 12, 2011

29 patriots espn 4:00 pm 30 dolphins* + 7

31 broncos* espn 7:15 pm 32 raiders + 3

[QFIT]

Got an e-mail from someone asking how long it takes Dan’s NFL software to predict the winner. I tried to explain advantage play and odds. He again asked how long it takes. I said you cannot guarantee a winner. He asked me what software was any good since ours couldn’t. I sent him the phone number for the National Council on Problem Gambling.

[Eye of the Tiger]

Here is some free stuff. Just as good or better?


http://www.greymatterstats.com/DetailView_NFL.aspx

[Eye of the Tiger]

Ok boys I know you have been waiting for this moment so here they are.

TB - 1 1/2
Bills + 6 1/2
Jaguars - 1 1/2
Vikings +8 1/2
Jets - 4

[shadroch]

I'm sure no ones been waiting,but here are mine
Giants, Jets, Steelers- all to cover.

[Eye of the Tiger]

Won 3 lost 2 that's 60% for the week. It looks like there are going to be some real bad teams and surprises this year. I can see some trends that will evolve over the next few weeks. I think next week will be better. The fight goes on. Enjoy the ride.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VgSMxY6asoE