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  #1  
Old October 15th, 2011, 09:47 AM
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sagefr0g sagefr0g is offline
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Red face betting & numbers

think Kelly betting can save you?
fooughgettabout it.
better watch who yah make a bet with, never make a bet with certain people.
anyone notice my avatar changed.
yup no canoe, lost it in a bet, almost lost my wife and dog too.

oh yeah enough on betting theory...... here's something on number theory....

$0.50 + $0.50 + $0.50 + $0.50 does not equal $1.00 !
also
0.5% does not equal 1.0%
what a difference such itty bitty numbers can make.

thank you for your time
note: in case anyone cares, i'm also changed who i might gonna vote for if i vote, and i'm seriously thinkin bout adding someone to my ignore list
  #2  
Old October 15th, 2011, 01:43 PM
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Default Naked Kelly

Kelly offers little protection for the money you do have.
50% chance of losing half your bank with Kelly resizing

One of the reasons its advised to not bet full Kelly is because in the real world if may be hard to accurately know ones advantage.

Last edited by blackjack avenger; October 15th, 2011 at 01:57 PM.
  #3  
Old October 16th, 2011, 02:46 AM
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sagefr0g sagefr0g is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackjack avenger View Post
Kelly offers little protection for the money you do have.
50% chance of losing half your bank with Kelly resizing

One of the reasons its advised to not bet full Kelly is because in the real world if may be hard to accurately know ones advantage.
a'int that truth, especially when yer dead wrong, lol.
  #4  
Old October 17th, 2011, 08:04 PM
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sage, I have no idea what you're talking about but it sounds terrible and for that you have my condolences.
  #5  
Old October 17th, 2011, 08:25 PM
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sagefr0g sagefr0g is offline
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Originally Posted by NAP View Post
sage, I have no idea what you're talking about but it sounds terrible and for that you have my condolences.
i appreciate that, and now must apologize for the post, as it was a good deal tongue in cheek, inside joke sorta stuff. ie. nuthing really tragic happened, i just made a bad bet was all and i was 'sure' i had a sure thing. boy, was i wrong, lol.
  #6  
Old October 17th, 2011, 08:27 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sagefr0g View Post
i appreciate that, and now must apologize for the post, as it was a good deal tongue in cheek, inside joke sorta stuff. ie. nuthing really tragic happened, i just made a bad bet was all and i was 'sure' i had a sure thing. boy, was i wrong, lol.
I hope you didn't lose the brass ring!
  #7  
Old October 17th, 2011, 08:32 PM
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sagefr0g sagefr0g is offline
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Originally Posted by NAP View Post
I hope you didn't lose the brass ring!
noooo, nooo, that's all fine, lol.
again sorry bout the post and appreciate the thought.....
my bad, humor on the internet, like kids and animals, ruins a good act, shouldn't of tried it.
sorry Ken, sorry everyone.
  #8  
Old October 17th, 2011, 08:38 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sagefr0g View Post
...anyone notice my avatar changed.
You are not a frog anymore - you are an angry gecko... but you are still a cold-blooded reptilian. zg
  #9  
Old October 17th, 2011, 08:43 PM
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sagefr0g sagefr0g is offline
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Originally Posted by zengrifter View Post
You are not a frog anymore - you are an angry gecko... but you are still a cold-blooded reptilian. zg
there yah go, even my silly OP can lead to something of value.
errhhh yah, the predatory nature inherent in advantage ....... theory, there yah go.
now, far as that morphing stuff, goes, good chamo ehhh, anything further and we'd have to go to voodoo........ zenzone, not!!! at least not yet!
maybe after this post, though?????
  #10  
Old October 17th, 2011, 10:32 PM
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Default Go ahead, make my day!

Quote:
Originally Posted by sagefr0g View Post
think Kelly betting can save you?
fooughgettabout it.
better watch who yah make a bet with, never make a bet with certain people.
anyone notice my avatar changed.
yup no canoe, lost it in a bet, almost lost my wife and dog too.

oh yeah enough on betting theory...... here's something on number theory....

$0.50 + $0.50 + $0.50 + $0.50 does not equal $1.00 !
also
0.5% does not equal 1.0%
what a difference such itty bitty numbers can make.

thank you for your time
note: in case anyone cares, i'm also changed who i might gonna vote for if i vote, and i'm seriously thinkin bout adding someone to my ignore list
I got news for you:

$0.50 = $1.00 all by itself and

0.5% of 1.0% = 2%.

Also, you can watch movies instantly on your computer with Netflix!


Okay ,Sage, push the button, but first, you've got to ask yourself one question: 'Do I feel lucky?' Well, do ya, punk?

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