Originally Posted by Sonny
Under what conditions do you split tens and then double down on the resulting stiffs?
I have a system where I factor in the neutral cards into my playing decisions and in this case the decks was heavy about 10-15 neutral cards. Deck was so loaded with 7-9's. The actual hi-lo part of my count was highly negative. I get a 12 I figure the deck is neutral value card heavy, the actual count was negative, but not negative enough to over turn the neutral card heavy deck. Dealer had a 3 up I do believe. I got a 2 for 12 on the first doubled based on my analysis, got a 9 for 21. Got a 4 on my other ten for 14 deck still 7-9 rich. I got lucky on the 14 and pulled a 7.
Wong does it all the time. He will even tell you so his self. In fact I even believe there is an article stating so on his site.
Basically, the beginning of the deck pretty much only tens and aces and 2-6's got played. I forget the actual ratio I used for the decision but I think it was 50 some odd cards 10-ace played, 50 some odd cards 2-6 played, and only like 10 or so 7-9s played. So the ratio was like 50:50:10. Telling me that the chances that a 7-9 will be the next few cards are amazingly high. Like super high.
If your playing a 4 deck shoe and 50 some od cards 2-6 have been played and 50 some odd cards 10 ace have been played and only like 10 cards 7-9 had been played.
If you are playing heads up against the dealer you get a 2 card 20 and the dealer shows a 3. Chances are if you split those hands your going to get 17-19. Math is there. I may ramble a lot and post misleading information
but I do know the game just a little bit better even than you probably. I just dont know all the fancy smancy math behind it. Or know why things happen, I just know they do and when to look for them.
I may only have been playing casino level for three years, but I am 100% certain I have played well over 100k hands of practice. I have nothing but time on my hands. I don't need to work often and I love to learn.
The math is there I just dont know it.