Hey, Im new to blackjack but am very interested in learning more. if ofcoures there is more to learn.
The only casino i have in my area has a 4 deck continuous shuffler which i assume makes card counting usless. So so far ive just been sticking to the basic stratergy. However ive thought about a betting stratergy and after much thought have decided i dont have the knowhow to predict statistically if i can win in the long term.
The betting strat is fairly basic, it only requires that u double ur bet everytime u lose. say u start out at 10 dollars. u lose your nect bet will b 20 40 80 160 so on. If u win just one game u will b up 10 dollars. i know just following this rule your almost garentied to win small amounts of money but in the long run u will lose 1 large sum which would counter all your winnings, (assuming the house has the edge) but what i cant calculate is blackjacks and doublings. look at it this way. if you have lost say 4 games in a row and your upto a 80 dollar bet. (your down 70 dollars) then lets say u get a blackjack you find urself up 50 dollars (black jack pays 1.5) or you have a chance to double and win your up 90 buks. this obviously increases exponetially as ur bets get larger. However once u reach ur bank limit. your finished.
i have estimated that with this stratergy u should have atleast a 85% chance to win 10% of the amount ur willing to risk assuming thers a 48% chance u win each hand. p=1-(0.52)^n p being the probability of losing n games in a row
Look if you have managed to understand what im saying i would like some helpful responces to my stratergy. Im not interested in being insulted in ne way. so if wat i have just said makes u infuriated by any means please just ignore this post.
The only casino i have in my area has a 4 deck continuous shuffler which i assume makes card counting usless. So so far ive just been sticking to the basic stratergy. However ive thought about a betting stratergy and after much thought have decided i dont have the knowhow to predict statistically if i can win in the long term.
The betting strat is fairly basic, it only requires that u double ur bet everytime u lose. say u start out at 10 dollars. u lose your nect bet will b 20 40 80 160 so on. If u win just one game u will b up 10 dollars. i know just following this rule your almost garentied to win small amounts of money but in the long run u will lose 1 large sum which would counter all your winnings, (assuming the house has the edge) but what i cant calculate is blackjacks and doublings. look at it this way. if you have lost say 4 games in a row and your upto a 80 dollar bet. (your down 70 dollars) then lets say u get a blackjack you find urself up 50 dollars (black jack pays 1.5) or you have a chance to double and win your up 90 buks. this obviously increases exponetially as ur bets get larger. However once u reach ur bank limit. your finished.
i have estimated that with this stratergy u should have atleast a 85% chance to win 10% of the amount ur willing to risk assuming thers a 48% chance u win each hand. p=1-(0.52)^n p being the probability of losing n games in a row
Look if you have managed to understand what im saying i would like some helpful responces to my stratergy. Im not interested in being insulted in ne way. so if wat i have just said makes u infuriated by any means please just ignore this post.