grmpyolmn said:
I have seen in a few posts something about a 3 card 16 rule. Does anyone know about this and can you explain it to me. Thanks in advance.
I located the following which might be of interest. I had nothing to do with it.
(Dead link: http://64.233.161.104/search?q=cache:En146eISVwgJ:www.usc.edu/CSSF/Current/Projects/J1211.pdf+3+card+16&hl=en&gl=us&ct=clnk&cd=1)
Objectives/Goals
The objective is to determine if it is reasonable in Blackjack to act differently with a 2-card 16 than with a 3-card 16 against a dealers 10. I think it is reasonable to say that the 3-card 16 has a higher chance of going bust.
Methods/Materials
I calculated the probabilities of drawing all possible cards for all possible combinations of 2-card 16s and 3-card 16s. I used Microsoft Excel to organize the probabilities and I used a standard 52-card deck to better understand the probabilities.
Results
The probability of going bust with a 3-card 16 against a dealers 10 is 61.43%. The probability of going bust with a 2-card 16 is only 59.18%.
Conclusions/Discussion
My conclusion is that it is reasonable to draw to a 2-card 16, but stick on a 3-card 16 against a dealers 10. This conclusion agrees with the single author who made a distinction between the two cases, and disagrees with all the authors who recommended drawing in all cases.
The probabilities of going bust in Blackjack with a 2-card 16 and a 3-card 16 against a dealers 10 were calculated and compared to see if it is reasonable to draw to a 2-card 16, but stick on a 3-card 16.