I was reading the Double-down Index section at GameMaster Online, Lesson 15
http://www.gamemasteronline.com/Arch...assics15.shtml. Some weird advice is given. It says we should double on:
- A-2 vs. 6 when True Count is -2
- A-3 vs. 5 when True Count is -2
- 9 vs. 3 when True Count is -1
- 10 vs. 9 when True Count is -2
I kind of see the logic with situation #1 and #2, where I am aiming for a 8 or a 7, so with a highly positive count I might get a 10 or Ace which would hurt me.
But what about situation #3 and #4? Is my edge with a hard 9 or hard 10 against a dealer 3 or dealer 9 that great that I should double my bet even though I'm more likely to receive a low card than a high one? I just don't get it. Whose side are you on, GameMaster?
At negative 2 True Count I think it's time to look for excuses to wong out, instead of increasing the bet. In fact, as far as doubling-down is concerned, my policy is to not do it even if the count is only slightly negative.
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