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  #1  
Old September 26th, 2007, 11:11 PM
bj2007 bj2007 is offline
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Default Actual results versus EV?

I'd like to hear about everyone's actual results versus their expected value.
It would be especially interesting to hear from people who have been counting for years.

I'll go first.
Counting career: 5 months
Actual results: +$1900
Estimated EV: +$350
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  #2  
Old September 27th, 2007, 01:57 AM
zerodegre zerodegre is offline
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What is EV? I have been counting 3 weeks and i am up $9000
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  #3  
Old September 27th, 2007, 01:59 AM
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EasyRhino EasyRhino is offline
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I couldn't really tell you my EV, since I don't track the hours (or the sims) that carefully, but I think that my variance has been lower than expected over the last year or so. And that might even be more useful on a limited bankroll.
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Old September 27th, 2007, 08:56 AM
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sagefr0g sagefr0g is offline
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my expectation was circa $8.31/hour
my results circa $15/hour for about 412 hours play or about 25,000 hands played.
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  #5  
Old September 28th, 2007, 10:06 PM
SilentBob420BMFJ SilentBob420BMFJ is offline
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LIFETIME EV probably about -.43%, and my actual EV is probably like -.1%.. in $, im down about $300, when i should be down probably a grand.. i just got into card counting tho, so if you just want to know that, im not sure what my EV is, but its positive, and im down $300 playing only positive counts, flat betting $10, and using a few indexes, so, in my 150+ hours of playing $3 blackjack AND 9/6 jacks+ video poker, i broke even, and in my mere 10 hours of counting cards, i lost $300

Last edited by SilentBob420BMFJ; September 28th, 2007 at 10:12 PM.
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  #6  
Old September 28th, 2007, 10:27 PM
Kasi Kasi is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bj2007 View Post
I'd like to hear about everyone's actual results versus their expected value.
It would be especially interesting to hear from people who have been counting for years.

I'll go first.
Counting career: 5 months
Actual results: +$1900
Estimated EV: +$350
How did u go about estimating your EV? It would help us to know the game, the spread, how many hands u played and how, etc.
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  #7  
Old September 29th, 2007, 12:03 AM
bj2007 bj2007 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasi View Post
How did u go about estimating your EV? It would help us to know the game, the spread, how many hands u played and how, etc.

Just an estimate:
www.bjstats.com/bjre.asp
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  #8  
Old September 29th, 2007, 02:17 AM
Kasi Kasi is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bj2007 View Post
Just an estimate:
www.bjstats.com/bjre.asp
That's fine but we still need to know what u plugged in.
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  #9  
Old September 29th, 2007, 12:36 PM
bj2007 bj2007 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasi View Post
That's fine but we still need to know what u plugged in.
I think you are misunderstanding my question. I'm not asking for help in
calculating my own EV(you can choose whether to trust me or not in my own EV estimate)

I'm more interested in some of the regular poster's earnings from blackjack just out of the sake of curiosity.
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  #10  
Old September 29th, 2007, 01:37 PM
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zengrifter zengrifter is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zerodegre View Post
What is EV? I have been counting 3 weeks and i am up $9000
Tell us more - what is...

Your BR size (when you started)?
Your unit size (when you started)?
Your bet spread and max-bet size (when you started)?
# decks and penetration you've mostly played?

Thanks! zg
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