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September 26th, 2007, 11:11 PM
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 12
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Actual results versus EV?
I'd like to hear about everyone's actual results versus their expected value.
It would be especially interesting to hear from people who have been counting for years.
I'll go first.
Counting career: 5 months
Actual results: +$1900
Estimated EV: +$350
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September 27th, 2007, 01:57 AM
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 4
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What is EV? I have been counting 3 weeks and i am up $9000
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September 27th, 2007, 01:59 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: San Diego
Posts: 3,193
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I couldn't really tell you my EV, since I don't track the hours (or the sims) that carefully, but I think that my variance has been lower than expected over the last year or so. And that might even be more useful on a limited bankroll.
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September 27th, 2007, 08:56 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 4,750
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my expectation was circa $8.31/hour
my results circa $15/hour for about 412 hours play or about 25,000 hands played.
__________________
best regards,
mr fr0g  MMOA honorary predator
STRENGTH - HONOR - HEART
that's my take on it your mileage may vary.
for senior citizen fuzzy count click link:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DrTiP4ZIUfI
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September 28th, 2007, 10:06 PM
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Banned
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 927
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LIFETIME EV probably about -.43%, and my actual EV is probably like -.1%.. in $, im down about $300, when i should be down probably a grand.. i just got into card counting tho, so if you just want to know that, im not sure what my EV is, but its positive, and im down $300 playing only positive counts, flat betting $10, and using a few indexes, so, in my 150+ hours of playing $3 blackjack AND 9/6 jacks+ video poker, i broke even, and in my mere 10 hours of counting cards, i lost $300
Last edited by SilentBob420BMFJ; September 28th, 2007 at 10:12 PM.
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September 28th, 2007, 10:27 PM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,084
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bj2007
I'd like to hear about everyone's actual results versus their expected value.
It would be especially interesting to hear from people who have been counting for years.
I'll go first.
Counting career: 5 months
Actual results: +$1900
Estimated EV: +$350
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How did u go about estimating your EV? It would help us to know the game, the spread, how many hands u played and how, etc.
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September 29th, 2007, 12:03 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasi
How did u go about estimating your EV? It would help us to know the game, the spread, how many hands u played and how, etc.
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Just an estimate:
www.bjstats.com/bjre.asp
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September 29th, 2007, 02:17 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,084
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bj2007
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That's fine but we still need to know what u plugged in.
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September 29th, 2007, 12:36 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasi
That's fine but we still need to know what u plugged in.
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I think you are misunderstanding my question. I'm not asking for help in
calculating my own EV(you can choose whether to trust me or not in my own EV estimate)
I'm more interested in some of the regular poster's earnings from blackjack just out of the sake of curiosity.
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September 29th, 2007, 01:37 PM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 17,199
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zerodegre
What is EV? I have been counting 3 weeks and i am up $9000
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Tell us more - what is...
Your BR size (when you started)?
Your unit size (when you started)?
Your bet spread and max-bet size (when you started)?
# decks and penetration you've mostly played?
Thanks! zg
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