NFL week 10

[moo321]

Cowboys -1 at Giants.

Packers -6 vs. Vikings. The Vikings have no passing game, and Peterson isn't gonna run for 300 against Green Bay at Lambeau. The Vikings secondary sucks this year, too.

Lions +109 at Cardinals. I like the Lions, their defense is playing well and they're running the ball well. Arizona isn't so good. I really think the linemakers just can't give Detroit credit, because they keep giving them soft lines against weak teams. The Lions aren't always great on the road, but they are clearly a better team, and home field doesn't compensate for that so much as to make them a dog.

Seahawks -500 vs. 49ers. San Francisco is completely incapable of passing the ball. Frank Gore is constantly playing against 8 in the box, and as a result hasn't played well (he's also coming off of an injury). Alex Smith will be back, but he's not any better than Dilfer. Their defense is good, though, so there may be value on the under (39.5). Not officially picking the under yet, though.

[toastblows]

of the games not off the board currently i like the over/under on GB/MN and SEA/SF. ill make my pick come closer to friday.

The green bay game looks really tempting, farve can throw, vikings are last in passing def....adrian peterson can get a couple running TD's if he gets 296 and 3TDs on SD...GB isnt as good a running def as SD...supposedly ...40.5 o/u is managable for over in a C+ or above performance from both teams.

[jack,jackson]

STL @ NO 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 710 144 114
BUF @ MIA 1:00 PM Tickets CBS 706 146 121
JAC @ TEN 1:00 PM Tickets CBS 705 119
CLE @ PIT 1:00 PM Tickets CBS 707 110 143
PHI @ WAS 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 711 126 122
ATL @ CAR 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 708 125 123
DEN @ KC 1:00 PM Tickets CBS 704 118 107
MIN @ GB 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 709 181 130
CIN @ BAL 4:05 PM Tickets CBS 712 130 119
DET @ ARI 4:15 PM Tickets FOX 714 121 122
CHI @ OAK 4:15 PM Tickets FOX 715 125 143
DAL @ NYG 4:15 PM Tickets FOX 713 123 126
IND @ SD 8:15 PM Tickets NBC 83 126 122 Radio
DIRECTV SIRIUS
Monday, November 12 Time (EST) Tickets Network Channel HD Channel Home Away Westwood One
SF @ SEA 8:30 PM

[SilentBob420BMFJ]

Originally Posted by moo321

Cowboys -1 at Giants.

Packers -6 vs. Vikings. The Vikings have no passing game, and Peterson isn't gonna run for 300 against Green Bay at Lambeau. The Vikings secondary sucks this year, too.

Lions +109 at Cardinals. I like the Lions, their defense is playing well and they're running the ball well. Arizona isn't so good. I really think the linemakers just can't give Detroit credit, because they keep giving them soft lines against weak teams. The Lions aren't always great on the road, but they are clearly a better team, and home field doesn't compensate for that so much as to make them a dog.

Seahawks -500 vs. 49ers. San Francisco is completely incapable of passing the ball. Frank Gore is constantly playing against 8 in the box, and as a result hasn't played well (he's also coming off of an injury). Alex Smith will be back, but he's not any better than Dilfer. Their defense is good, though, so there may be value on the under (39.5). Not officially picking the under yet, though.

there is 5:1 odds on the 49ers? thats insane.. -500 means you have to bet $100 to win $500 right? why are the 49ers insanely favored?

[moo321]

Originally Posted by SilentBob420BMFJ

there is 5:1 odds on the 49ers? thats insane.. -500 means you have to bet $100 to win $500 right? why are the 49ers insanely favored?

No, I'm picking the Seahawks at 1 to 5.

[SilentBob420BMFJ]

Originally Posted by moo321

No, I'm picking the Seahawks at 1 to 5.

i know, but the moneyline is -500 for the seahawks, which means you need to bet $500 to win $100, which is crazy i think.. i would think the spread on such a huge moneyline would be like 10 points.. btw im not basing this on anything but what i feel would make sense, not on what history has said

[moo321]

Originally Posted by SilentBob420BMFJ

i know, but the moneyline is -500 for the seahawks, which means you need to bet $500 to win $100, which is crazy i think.. i would think the spread on such a huge moneyline would be like 10 points.. btw im not basing this on anything but what i feel would make sense, not on what history has said

Yep, the spread is 10 points, and that would probably be a decent bet. But I like the moneyline more, because I think Seattle is going to win any close games, and has almost no chance of losing. I don't know if they'll win by 11 or more enough to justify taking the spread.

[ChefJJ]

Originally Posted by SilentBob420BMFJ

i know, but the moneyline is -500 for the seahawks, which means you need to bet $500 to win $100, which is crazy i think.. i would think the spread on such a huge moneyline would be like 10 points.. btw im not basing this on anything but what i feel would make sense, not on what history has said

Just remember that the moneyline does not necessarily relate to the spread. A win is a win with the moneyline.

[moo321]

Originally Posted by ChefJJ

Just remember that the moneyline does not necessarily relate to the spread. A win is a win with the moneyline.

Right. So, for example, I may think that a team has a small chance of winning, but if they lose it will be a blowout. In that case, I'm taking the moneyline on them. On the other hand, if I think a team will play tough defense, and lose a lot of close games, I might give them the spread.

The Lions and Bengals are good on moneylines, the Ravens and Jaguars are good on the spread (for example, not based on research of those teams histories against the spread).

[moo321]

Browns +409 at Pittsburgh. The Browns passing attack is great right now, and Roethlisburger (I hope I'm spelling that right) tends to break down when he's playing from behind. I think the Browns can win a few games where they jump out to an early lead. Don't take the spread here; there's a good chance the Browns get behind and can't stop the run in the second half. They either jump out to a lead early and build on it, or they lose badly.