The key to this is more likely in tracking the chance of a matching suit, perhaps with a red/black +/- system. I was looking at something similar for the 3 card poker sidebet where your strongest chances is for a flush but you also get paid for a straight or 3 of a kind, the latter two being impossible to predict. I ended up thinking that the sidebet would be less profitable than regular card counting. Now if you had a partner at the table counting the sidebet while you counted regular, then you might be on to something. I have yet to find a reliable playing partner with a fraction of my skill or desire to do this.
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