Quote:
Originally Posted by bob420
Thanks for the information this really helps me out. One quick question. You mention that your odds reduce by -2.27% when BJ only pays 1:1 but does this increase slightly since it still pays 3:2 for a suited BJ?
The Ace changing values with more cards is a little different but after a while you get used to it, it has helped me and hindered me both when it goes to a 10 value after 3 cards are played as for just a 1 value after 4 cards it seems that most of the time after this number of cards you are counting the value as 1 anyway (and it helps on the 5 card charlie).
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Yes I think the effective change would be -2.27% + .57% (Due to suited blackjacks paying an additional .5 unit) = -1.7%
Any 2 aces paying 2 to 1 is actually much better than I thought it would be. If I figured it out right (which is unlikely lol I have a limited statistics background

) ....
Since its a 4 deck game theres 16 aces. And since order doesn't matter the number of ways to get to get 2 aces = 16C2 = 120. And there are 208C2 different possible starting hands.
So 120/21528 = .5574136% of the time you will get AA to start. Assuming you get your 2-1 pay out regardless of dealer blackjack, .5574136% of the time you will receive an extra TWO units = +1.1148%
I'd have somebody else check out the math, though. I usually look at online sources to help figure things out. I don't even know if that ace value changing is good or bad or any real effect? It doesn't change the five ball charlie, but I'm not sure what effect it has on making a hand.
EDIT: I just realized I figured out the suited 3/2 effect for a 6 deck game, not a four deck game. It should be close anyways.