Recent content by calleo

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    Ploppy's getting angry w/ index plays that mess up the "team flow"

    I know the math says that in the longrun, bad play can't mess you up. But what about on one shoe? I was playing last night, counting and doing well, when a couple of guys join the table sitting on either side of me (I always play the middle boxes when I'm sitting alone). And these guys...
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    Variance, EV, Risk on Multiple Hands

    Estimate penetration? This sounds cool. How can I do this? The shoe at my casino has a small lip where the cards are dealt from, not sure how many cards it covers, but has the effect of covering the cut card when it is about to be dealt. I would estimate the average penetration to be...
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    Variance, EV, Risk on Multiple Hands

    I found the following passage in "Million Dollar Blackjack": "There is one key provisio, however. If, by playing multiple hands, you reduce the number of rounds you would have been delt in a given positive deck or shoe, you haven't gained a thing -- in fact, you may have decreased expected...
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    Variance, EV, Risk on Multiple Hands

    Another thread that talks about the same thing: http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/showthread.php?p=39802
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    KO Counts at high depths

    My bad, I meant pivot point. In this 6 deck game I am ramping up my bets starting at the key count of -4 up to a max bet at the pivot point of +4 (and over).
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    Variance, EV, Risk on Multiple Hands

    I should of mentioned it's a 6-deck shoe game. And there is no heat at the place because I know many of the dealers and pit people. Also I bring a lot of ploppys and dropped a lot of cash before my counting days. I can get shuffles in the middle of the shoe, raise the table limit, and even...
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    KO Counts at high depths

    You say I "could be", could you give it to me in math terms? Am I underbetting 50% of the time? 80% of the time? All of the time? Has anyone worked this out for KO? Also underbetting and overbetting will definitely contribute negatively to EV, but overbetting will also increase variance, and...
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    Variance, EV, Risk on Multiple Hands

    I know this has been discussed here: http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/showthread.php?t=3069 But want to confirm some things. My game is S17, RS4, DAS, ES. Let's say my 1 unit bet is already double the table minimum. Should I be betting 2 hands @ 1/2 unit each? Will this keep my EV the...
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    KO Counts at high depths

    I'm using KO-Preferred Game is S17, DAS, RS4, ES, NH. Since KO is an unbalanced, running count only strategy: What's the effect (positive or negative) on EV at high counts towards the end of the shoe? KO says to max bet whenever the running count is over the key count. BUT the same...
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