Recent content by mickpk

That's how I play them. When I get down to my last $25 or so (unless the bonus and target were smaller to start with in which case I'll go lower), I put it all on the line. How you minimise the leakage of house edge is to play a variation of BJ (where possible, not always, unfortunately) that...

HI bluewhale. Yes, with smaller bets you are unlikely to reach a target of x2 (and certainly not a x3 and/or x4) as we do have a time constraint on our play, ie the WR, that we are likely to reach the end of our +EV play before the target has been reached. For that, the calculator at...

Formula EV=(P*T-B)-(P*WR*HE) EV = Expected Value (in dollar terms) BR = Bankroll (ie, Deposit + Bonus) P = Probability of hitting your target expressed as a percentage (source: http://www.qfit.com/blackjack-calculator-c6.htm which is sourced from "This formula is found on Blackjack...

You say that you still have to complete all of those WR's, but how when you have $0 in the busted acct? The real, as opposed to theoretical, outcome is that you have $0 in one acct and that can be at Casino X but have $400 in the other acct at Casino Y. It is impossible to complete the WR at...

The lower your bet as a percentage of your starting balance, the longer it takes you to either bust (perhaps you may think this is a good thing, but it isn't) or hit your target. This means you need to wager more. This means you have given more house edge to the casino. This means your +EV of...

I am so glad that you've understood this, bluewhale, as you were the person that asked about it. The roulette example is, as one person described it, a red herring in an attempt to make the explanation simple of how you are effectively transferring one bonus to a second bonus without...

No, I wasn't upset, but perhaps my frustration is showing as I truly didn't think I'd have to justify this to a card counting forum where the math rules and this is backed by the math. As well as it is widely known information and has been used to advantage by those in the bonus game for years...

Firstly, single 0 house edge is 2.70% so that figure should be $194.40. Edit: ok, you were doing half the double 0 house edge. Got it now. Tell me, how are you continuing to wager the $4800 on the loser Black bet with $0 in the account? You can't, therefore that wagering has to be removed...

Actual? Tell me, why would you play double 0 roulette with a house edge of 5.26% when single 0 roulette (2.70%) or even French Roulette (La Partage rule, 1.35%) would be available? Why choose one of the worst house edge games to play when better are available? And where have you read that...

As I have already answered, yes it is almost a 50/50 game. I assume you know the math of blackjack. You know what your chances are of winning a hand, losing a hand and tieing a hand are? You know how much extra the blackjack 3:2 payout is worth? You know how much extra splits and doubles are...

Yes, bluewhale. That is spot on.

I have chosen to delete that post for if there is any embarrassment it should lie with me for making the assumption on the basis of what was being asked. I apologise.

chose to delete

I'm sending Katherine Harris in to do a recount. lol With that philosophy, card counting fails as well. Oh, puhlease. I'm rounding for crying out loud. If you would rather I produce data with 10 decimal places then I will but it's pointless.

You play sticky bonuses so why you don't understand this is baffling. How do you get +EV out of the sticky bonuses you play? If you grind a sticky bonus and never hit sufficient variance to take you above your deposited amount, you will never make a profit from them. Yet you do, I assume. This...