Recent content by snipe44

Wow, thanks a lot for the really detailed responses Ken and London - that completely clears things up. I believe in my head I'd underestimated the combined effects of the some players bust some players don't situations. I totally get it now - thanks guys! Oh well, I suppose somewhere I...

I can give you an example, but it's not a good illustration because this isn't a card strategy. So, here's a poor example for you: Top of the deck: 10, A, 7, K, 5, 10, Q, J, 7, K, Q I omitted the suits. If it's just the player and the dealer, the dealer wins with blackjack. If its the...

What factors? As far as I can tell there are NO other factors aside from the situation where both dealer and player bust. What other rules? If you're talking about player options, then no. Those only serve to boost the player's chance of winning, and I am talking about one single way to boost...

The reason why I've been ignoring everything else besides the bust rate is that it's irrelevant to the calculation at hand. I'm isolating the variables at hand, because I'm targeting a very specific aspect of the game! It doesn't seem like people fully understand what I'm saying. I don't even...

QFIT, if mutual busting is not the source of house edge in blackjack, then what is? If you can tell me, then I can go and investigate other hypotheses, however if mutual busting IS the source of house edge, then surely looking into how it may be changed and reduced has merit. Please...

haha thank... you... kolan? I think :laugh:

We have to be careful though. There are lots of unintuitive situations in mathematics where the placement of decision affects probability. Yes, I can understand that playing continually like normal, over and over again will not cut the house advantage. But, according to the numbers that I've...

Then an important question remains: what is the source of the house advantage in black jack? I was using a fictional situation where a mutual bust is counted as a tie, to illustrate the fact (I believe) that the house advantage comes solely from situations where both dealer and player bust...

I'm sorry, I don't think I understand. Please elaborate (and tell me what part of my calculations it pertains to). I would like to note a general undertone of the responses here. People seem to be disregarding the fact that the only statistical advantage the house has over the player, is the...

I'm simply testing the current scientific paradigm. If people didn't investigate things simply on the basis that 'smarter people out there haven't already figured out what you're trying to figure out', then science and society would be in a very poor place. Re: Licentia Thanks a lot for the...

StudiodeKadent: I'm not saying don't use it. I'm saying, play with four people (they don't need to be smart, they just need to copy our strategy or listen to you). Or even play with four hands. This cuts down the house advantage. Then ADD all of your strategies and it will most likely raise...

And in an attempt to verify the math, here's a slightly more comprehensive explanation of the statistical probabilities involved here. Let's set up an imaginary game of blackjack - no player options or even betting strategies since they are irrelevant to the current calculation and can be...

Well, the reason why blackjack is 'hard' to make money with, is because the house has a statistical advantage over the player. The statistical advantage in blackjack comes from the fact (i believe) that in situations where the dealer busts AND you bust, the dealer still 'wins' in the sense...

then I guess I'm wrong? But where - can someone please explain :confused: ------------------------- EDIT: I think I've found one area where I'm wrong. The chance that 3/4 people will bust with the dealer is not 0.28^4. That is the chance that one combination of those people will bust. The...

I don't know if I should be saying this, but I just can't seem to see the flaw in how I've figured this out. Okay, I read online (and it makes sense to me) that the source of the house advantage in Blackjack is the situation of double busting. If both you and the dealer play the same...