Recent content by wbav

  1. W

    Need help computing dealer bust probability

    thats assuming a single deck though, I did not realize that. I am assuming right now drawing cards does not affect the probability: lim n--> infinity (16*n-1)/(52*n) = 16/52
  2. W

    Need help computing dealer bust probability

    Yeah my surrender has an expected value of -1/2 and is always an option for the player, sounds a lot like early. I'll fix that up. Thanks for the tip. iOp is just an operator so I can reuse the same function Dealer() to compute useful probabilities. In the example below, my recursive...
  3. W

    Need help computing dealer bust probability

    Well I'm still working on the ace bust = 17%, I bet if I figure that out it'll fix a lot of the surrenders in my table. If a dealer has an ace, there are about 16/52 on avg in a deck, 16/52 = 30.769%
  4. W

    Need help computing dealer bust probability

    I've combed through my calculation code and fixed several errors. here is my new table: It looks somewhat better, but the surrenders are way out of whack, although not totally unreasonable based on my playing experience :). I made sure to treat aces correctly, for the dealer. Hard...
  5. W

    Need help computing dealer bust probability

    Using my methodology as described above I was able to compute a basic strategy: It obviously differs from the 20+ other basic strategy tables I have seen on the net :laugh:. can someone help?
  6. W

    Need help computing dealer bust probability

    as an exercise, I tried to compute the probability of a dealer bust showing an Ace. My method is recursive in nature, I try drawing all the cards for the dealer if his hand is < 17 and multiplying each card's chance of occurance (4/52, with 10's at 16/52) with the evaluated results of the new...
  7. W

    advice on Selling books

    I am in the market for BJ books. I will buy them if you can price match amazon.
  8. W

    Need Advice/Help

    You play Hoyle online? I'd like to see someone beating the dealer with realistic betting strategy.
  9. W

    Need Advice/Help

    The book I am currently going by is "the world's greatest blackjack book." It got pretty good reviews from amazon, but I bought it years ago from a bookstore and only got around to reading it now.
  10. W

    Need Advice/Help

    I was using the count in the software, I tracked it for about 10 min it seemed to be accurate. Not a hi-opt count, but it seemed to be a balanced level 2 count. I played for a grueling 3 hours about a hand every 45 secs, is that enough games to be on the expected value? The BJ books I read...
  11. W

    Need Advice/Help

    I have been working hard trying to learn the blackjack strategies. I bought hoyle casino as practice, I turn on the count, not sure what system it uses but it seems to be accurate. I am following basic strategy and getting my butt kicked. I played a 3 hour session betting how I would bet in...
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