Over the last month, I've kept a "simulated" diary, working off the bodog practice blackjack game. "Play" six simulated days a week, off on Sundays.
Playing 1-on-1. I am not counting cards but I am WATCHING trends (choppy play, streaks -- both winning and losing). I count my win-loss, similar to a baseball team's record. (Pushes don't count). I play basic/aggressive (DD 8 vs. 5 and 6, split any pair vs. 5 and 6 (yes, this includes 10s)).
For the first three "months", working a simulated $50,000 bankroll, I play $100 chips with a goal of leaving up three units ($300). 65% of those first three months, I hit my $300 up within 15 hands. Sometimes I'd go 3-0, sometimes even 6-7, but hit double downs.
Once I hit "April", I was up to + $57,000. So I bumped it up to $400 a hand, with a goal of $800 (just 2 units). That made the process even easier -- Once I hit $800 I was finished for the "day". Then in "June", up to $500 a hand/$1000 goal. Still hit PLUS $1,000 each and every day. Now, I'm at $271,250 UP for my simulated "year".
When it gets sticky is when I start out 4 (wins) - 13 (losses) or 9-20 and lose my first three or four double-downs. Yet a funny thing happens -- I always "make a run" later. When I start out 4-13 or 9-20, I never get back to even at, say, 35-35, but I always have a good "win 8 of 10" or seven in a row. The tricky part is recognizing when you bottom out. Once I get to 20 units down, then I'll bump up my bets. If I start out at $500 a hand, I may dump it back to $1,500 or $2,000. When the run swings back my way, then I'm good to even...and then some.
The most I was ever down in a single session was $65,000 -- I bumped it up to $8,000 a hand after beginning the session with 27 wins and 65 losses. Then I went 12-3, with blackjacks and three victorious double-downs, and ended up $25,000.
Is this completely crazy? Tracking wins/losses instead of cards. I know, I know, I'll hear "if it could be done this way, you'd see 300 books written and published about it." But isn't this a major advantage that players have...the ability to walk away after 2 hands...or 250 hands?
Overall, I have won 68.7% of double downs after 231 "simulated" days. When the total amount of hands played in a session goes over 70, I have never won more than I've lost.
Please, experts, chime in and tell me if this is completely nuts. 231 "simulated" days with 231 simulated "wins".
Playing 1-on-1. I am not counting cards but I am WATCHING trends (choppy play, streaks -- both winning and losing). I count my win-loss, similar to a baseball team's record. (Pushes don't count). I play basic/aggressive (DD 8 vs. 5 and 6, split any pair vs. 5 and 6 (yes, this includes 10s)).
For the first three "months", working a simulated $50,000 bankroll, I play $100 chips with a goal of leaving up three units ($300). 65% of those first three months, I hit my $300 up within 15 hands. Sometimes I'd go 3-0, sometimes even 6-7, but hit double downs.
Once I hit "April", I was up to + $57,000. So I bumped it up to $400 a hand, with a goal of $800 (just 2 units). That made the process even easier -- Once I hit $800 I was finished for the "day". Then in "June", up to $500 a hand/$1000 goal. Still hit PLUS $1,000 each and every day. Now, I'm at $271,250 UP for my simulated "year".
When it gets sticky is when I start out 4 (wins) - 13 (losses) or 9-20 and lose my first three or four double-downs. Yet a funny thing happens -- I always "make a run" later. When I start out 4-13 or 9-20, I never get back to even at, say, 35-35, but I always have a good "win 8 of 10" or seven in a row. The tricky part is recognizing when you bottom out. Once I get to 20 units down, then I'll bump up my bets. If I start out at $500 a hand, I may dump it back to $1,500 or $2,000. When the run swings back my way, then I'm good to even...and then some.
The most I was ever down in a single session was $65,000 -- I bumped it up to $8,000 a hand after beginning the session with 27 wins and 65 losses. Then I went 12-3, with blackjacks and three victorious double-downs, and ended up $25,000.
Is this completely crazy? Tracking wins/losses instead of cards. I know, I know, I'll hear "if it could be done this way, you'd see 300 books written and published about it." But isn't this a major advantage that players have...the ability to walk away after 2 hands...or 250 hands?
Overall, I have won 68.7% of double downs after 231 "simulated" days. When the total amount of hands played in a session goes over 70, I have never won more than I've lost.
Please, experts, chime in and tell me if this is completely nuts. 231 "simulated" days with 231 simulated "wins".
