#1




The insurance puzzle
Anyone want insurance?
The real question is, how good of an insurance policy do I want? 1. HiLo, insurance correlation of 0.76 2. Balanced Zen, IC = 0.85 3. "Perfect" insurance count, IC = ? 4. Playing with info, IC = 1.0 What is the IC of #3? What does IC really mean in terms of % EV gain from #1 to 2, 3, and #4? How does SD, DD, 6D, and 8D affect these?
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Just another insignificant salamander trying to evolve. 
#2




Could #3 be the Victor Insurance Paramter?

#3




Quote:

#4




Here's an even simpler "perfect insurance count":
Tens are 2; everything else is +1. IRC = 4 multiplied by the number of decks Insure when the count is positive; don't when it's negative (at zero it's breakeven) 
#5




I found this somewhere.
"true counted" unbalanced insurance count, IRC(initial running count) = 4*(number of decks) count tag for nontens are +1 count tag for tens are 2 when 6 deck, total 312 cards. C : number of cards dealt N: number of nonten cards dealt T: number of ten cards dealt number of cards in shoe = 312C number of decks in shoe = (312C)/52 RC = 24+N2T N+T = C probability of insurance win = P after some calc, TC=52*(24+C3T)/(312C) then (52+TC)/156= by computation, =(96T)/(312C) this is equal to density of ten cards in shoe =P Kelly optimal insurance bet = BR*(3P1)/2= by computation, =BR*TC/104 
#6




Like the post immediately before yours?

#7




My interest in that insurance counting system is,
simulation result of using 2 counting systems, that is, (in shoe game), high BC system (HiLo, EBJ2, Wong Halves...) for betting and playing, and that insurance count system for determining insurance buying amount. Someone can sim? 
#8




Quote:

#9




How about 2manteam at same table?

#10




Now you're talking.

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