#1




Frequency of losing x times in a row per 100,000 hands
Hello. Where can I find out how many times I will lose 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10,11,12,13,14,15 hands in a row per 10,000 hands, and per 100,000 hands?
I have scoured the web looking for this info, and I'm at a loss. I would GREATLY appreciate any help. 
#2




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Poke around wizardofodds.com. U'll find it. 
#3




You can also get the streak percentages for various games (number of decks, rules, etc.) here:
(Dead link: http://www.bjstats.com/bjsc.asp) In the "Table" pulldown menu select "Streaks  Hands In A Row" Sonny 
#4




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Awesome, Sonny. That's EXACTLY what I was looking for. I only have one question, though. How do I find out how many total hands were played in this sim? That way, I will know how often you will get a streak of x per 10,000 hands, 100,000 hands, ect... 
#5




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Sonny 
#6




Just wondering what u plan to do with the information? Design a betting system?
No need to reply if it's private. 
#7




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I feel like I have finally learned enough that I can make a run at a reliable income, and I feel like blackjack is the best game for that. Here's my progressive betting strategy that I am trying to calculate Assume $5 is your betting unit. Lose 5 hands in a row, then Martingale it $25, $50, $100, ect.... My theory is that at some point, the frequency of losing x number of hands in a row will decrease to a point where when you finally do hit that big loser, you will have made more money up to that point than you lose. To say it another way, I want to lose 5 hands in a row, then Martingale it up to a point where I will bust out on the 15th hand, with the theory that the money I have made on my previous winning sessions will be more than the money that I make on that one losing session, because the frequency of losing 15 hands in a row will be outwayed by all of the times I have succesfully Martingale'd. My basis of this theory is that if you graph out the number of losing streaks that you will have over 100,000 hands ( x losing streaks of 3 hands, y losing streaks of 4 hands, z losing streaks of 5 hands, ect...), the graph is a curve, not a straight line. I know that the chances of this working is slim, but I don't understand mathmatically why, so I am digging into the numbers. 
#8




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LOSING STREAKS 10,544 streaks of 1 5,572 streaks of 2 2,954 streaks of 3 1,568 streaks of 4 832 streaks of 5 441 streaks of 6 234 streaks of 7 124 streaks of 8 66 streaks of 9 35 streaks of 10 19 streaks of 11 10 streaks of 12 5 streaks of 13 3 streaks of 14 Is that correct? It seems like there should be a lot more of the higher # losing streaks? 
#9




Just another Martingale but waiting till the sixth hand
Am I missing something here. If you win any of the 6th  15th hands you will be even. If you lose the 15th hand you will be down $25,600. Most times, of course, you will be even.
I know I sent you an PM in response to your sending me one, and stated that there have been several times where I have lost over 20 hands in a row and loses of 10 or more are just not that rare. I also can not see where you will be picking up profits of more than $5 at a time while subjecting yourself to a progression that might cause you to find a table that will accept a $12,800 bet just to break even. ihate17 
#10




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I think the average ratio of wins to losses is 45 wins per 100 hands, 49 losses, and 6 pushes. If you use this modified Martingale, the advantage is that you will have , on average, 3 streaks per hour of 6 or more losses in a row. If you cancel those losses out with a Martingale, you are effectively shifting the win/loss ratio into a state where you will win more hands than you lose. The question that has to be answered is Will shifting the win loss ratio in this manner make you more money than th amount of money that you will lose, once you do hit that tenth loss (or where ever you put the stop point). So if you start the Martingale after 5 losses in a row, and you are prepared be wiped out (of that single session), after the 10th loss, will you have enough small streaks that shift the win loss ratio in your favor to outweigh the enevitable losing session? 
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