Game Theory Paradox wins against negative EV! *LINK*

#1
The writers say that it "won't work in casino games"...
but what do they know? zg

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Paradox in Game Theory: Losing Strategy That Wins

By SANDRA BLAKESLEE
New York Times | SCIENCE

A Spanish physicist has discovered what appears to be a new law of nature that may help explain, among other things, how life arose out of a primordial soup, why President Clinton's popularity rose after he was caught in a sex scandal, and why investing in losing stocks can sometimes lead to greater capital gains.

Called Parrondo's paradox, the law states that two games guaranteed to make a player lose all his money will generate a winning streak if played alternately.

Named after its discoverer, Dr. Juan Parrondo, who teaches physics at the Complutense University in Madrid, the newly discovered paradox is inspired by the mechanical properties of ratchets -- the familiar saw-tooth tools used to lift automobiles and run self-winding wristwatches. By translating the properties of a ratchet into game theory -- a relatively new scientific discipline that seeks to extract rules of nature from the gains and losses observed in games -- Dr. Parrondo discovered that two losing games could combine to increase one's wealth.

"The importance of the paradox in real life remains to be seen," said Dr. Charles Doering, a mathematician at the University of Michigan, who is familiar with the research. "It gives us a new and unexpected view of a variety of phenomena," he said, "and who knows? Sometimes finding that one piece of the puzzle makes the whole picture suddenly clear."

Dr. Derek Abbott, director of the Center for Biomedical Engineering at the University of Adelaide in Australia, said that many scientists were intrigued by the paradox and had begun applying it to engineering, population dynamics, financial risk and other disciplines.

... continued at primary link below -

More links -

Ivars Peterson @ MAA.ORG
http://www.maa.org/mathland/mathtrek_3_6_00.html (Archive copy)
Parrondo's paradox simplified
http://seneca.fis.ucm.es/parr/GAMES/inbrief.html
 

Sonny

Well-Known Member
#2
Sonny's Law of Bad Investing

> Called Parrondo's paradox, the law states that two games guaranteed to make a
>player lose all his money will generate a winning streak if played alternately.

I've watched the ploppies wander from the blackjack tables to the roulette wheel all days long and have yet to see them get any richer.

By the way, how did this become a LAW already? According to the article they are still doing quite a bit of research regarding its practicality. Wouldn't that make it a THEORY until they reach a conclusion?

> Dr. Parrondo discovered that two losing games could combine to
> increase one's wealth.

This guy is in the wrong line of work. He should be a casino host!

> "You see ratchets everywhere in life," Dr. Abbott said. "Any child knows that
> when you shake a bag of mixed nuts, the Brazil nuts rise to the top.

Ah yes of course, Abbot's Law of Brazil nuts!

> Unfortunately, Parrondo's paradox will not work for the kinds of games played
> in casinos, Dr. Abbott said.

Don't try telling that to John Patrick! I'm sure he's already selling a new system that uses this theory for $200. Seminars will be offered shortly.

> Dr. Sergei Maslov, a physicist at Brookhaven National Laboratory in Upton,
> N.Y., recently showed that if an investor simultaneously shared capital
> between two losing stock portfolios, capital would increase rather than
> decrease.

Actually, I've tried the same experiment. Ask me where my capital is now...

-Sonny-
 
#3
I would like the Mayor to comment on ' Parrondo's paradox'

It doesn't appear to be a spoof, and if not why couldn't it be applied to a casino game of chance like BJ or Baccarrat? zg
 

The Mayor

Well-Known Member
#6
Sadly no...

Unless the casino bases the game rules on how much cash we have in front of us, and changes the rules of the game based on that sum as the sum changes, there is no effect.

Too bad.

--Mayor
 
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