Hello all,
Names Jay. I've read the forum for a long time but this is my first time posting. I've been playing for almost a year but I reevaluated my game in Jan and started over. I figured I should throw my game out there and see what some of the more experienced people in the world have to say about it. I've logged about 70 hours since and am up by about 4.5k (was a lot more until last night). I'm Close to my E.V. My Beginning bankroll was 6,000 and I managed to push that up to 8,600 after some unavoidable expenses and bills.
So the best game offered around me is DD 25$ minimum (1 table with a 15$ min but it's always packed) with around a 40% house edge. No Mid shoe entry. There's Identical games at the surrounding casinos and I've managed to find all the dealers with good pen. and go straight to them.
My min bet is 15 or 25. My maximum at a 6% edge or higher is 200 or 2x150. My ROR is 1.8%
So far I've managed to do well with the exception of one aspect I've noticed weighing down my ev all the time. A LARGE majority of the shoes I've been playing have been going negative or neutral and they have been eating me up. Last night I was playing the BEST game around me, where the dealer was honestly chopping off less than half a deck, and I lost big. It was a heads up situation so I couldn't wong without switching tables out but in reality the count never went too far south. I'm having ploppy thoughts like "Do The ASMs not change the general orientation of the cards?"
In one shoe I was in awe because I got eaten for 800$ while betting the table minimum??! I was thinking this is STRANGE, but then the next two shoes gave me the same deal, neutral or slightly negative counts, Big losses. I gave up on this "Optimal" heads up, deep pen, situation to jump over to a table with other players so that I could wong out of bad counts. More Negative shoes!! And more!!!.....and more!!! At least here I could dodge them. I played for a long time without fear of heat because I knew I hadn't even shown off my spread. What's more annoying about this is that at this store they drop the god damn shoe when they switch dealers. So one did heat up and the new dealer showed up and I had to awkwardly picked up my stack of chips from the felt and leave.
In around 6 hours I probably found 5 or 6 shoes that were positive. No doubles, no splits, no naturals. Only two of them were profitable. I didn't have an edge last night. I was barely spreading, and when I was it wasn't enough to make up for these nasty shoes. -1200 for the night
I do have the option to play 10$ 6D but it always super busy and the game isn't great. There is a beatable side bet but I haven't gotten into that yet.
Any suggestions on my encountering nasty shoes while playing in a generally play all with some wonging out? But also any suggestions on my game in general.
Thanks in advance and it's nice to meet you all.
Names Jay. I've read the forum for a long time but this is my first time posting. I've been playing for almost a year but I reevaluated my game in Jan and started over. I figured I should throw my game out there and see what some of the more experienced people in the world have to say about it. I've logged about 70 hours since and am up by about 4.5k (was a lot more until last night). I'm Close to my E.V. My Beginning bankroll was 6,000 and I managed to push that up to 8,600 after some unavoidable expenses and bills.
So the best game offered around me is DD 25$ minimum (1 table with a 15$ min but it's always packed) with around a 40% house edge. No Mid shoe entry. There's Identical games at the surrounding casinos and I've managed to find all the dealers with good pen. and go straight to them.
My min bet is 15 or 25. My maximum at a 6% edge or higher is 200 or 2x150. My ROR is 1.8%
So far I've managed to do well with the exception of one aspect I've noticed weighing down my ev all the time. A LARGE majority of the shoes I've been playing have been going negative or neutral and they have been eating me up. Last night I was playing the BEST game around me, where the dealer was honestly chopping off less than half a deck, and I lost big. It was a heads up situation so I couldn't wong without switching tables out but in reality the count never went too far south. I'm having ploppy thoughts like "Do The ASMs not change the general orientation of the cards?"
In one shoe I was in awe because I got eaten for 800$ while betting the table minimum??! I was thinking this is STRANGE, but then the next two shoes gave me the same deal, neutral or slightly negative counts, Big losses. I gave up on this "Optimal" heads up, deep pen, situation to jump over to a table with other players so that I could wong out of bad counts. More Negative shoes!! And more!!!.....and more!!! At least here I could dodge them. I played for a long time without fear of heat because I knew I hadn't even shown off my spread. What's more annoying about this is that at this store they drop the god damn shoe when they switch dealers. So one did heat up and the new dealer showed up and I had to awkwardly picked up my stack of chips from the felt and leave.
In around 6 hours I probably found 5 or 6 shoes that were positive. No doubles, no splits, no naturals. Only two of them were profitable. I didn't have an edge last night. I was barely spreading, and when I was it wasn't enough to make up for these nasty shoes. -1200 for the night
I do have the option to play 10$ 6D but it always super busy and the game isn't great. There is a beatable side bet but I haven't gotten into that yet.
Any suggestions on my encountering nasty shoes while playing in a generally play all with some wonging out? But also any suggestions on my game in general.
Thanks in advance and it's nice to meet you all.
