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June 18th, 2007, 02:47 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 17,194
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zengrifter
NFLSystms.com: "Ron Paul is the one that has the highest value."
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IF you are going to bet on the Primaries. zg
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June 18th, 2007, 07:58 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: the chicken coop
Posts: 1,948
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http://www.nflsystems.com/2008-elect...dent-2008.html
Many of you have never heard of Ron Paul but don't worry ... you will. Ron Paul is a 2008 Republican candidate running to become president. Some pollsters do not even include him in their polls. And those that do, show him non-existent to 3% maximum. The first caucuses and primaries are 7 months away, so how can Paul go from unknown to presidential candidate?
The first thing to realize is that Ron Paul is not an unknown. Unknown candidates usually have trouble winning election because of the lack of familiarity that voters have with them. If the voter does not know a candidate, how can they vote on you. But things have changed with the Internet. He is one of the most famous politicians on the Internet right now.
Once the election season gets closer and more people start flocking to the Internet for information, voters will start to learn about Ron Paul. This will provide a natural boost for Paul that other candidates will not have. In fact, if you avoided watching the mainstream media and the polls, you would feel that Ron Paul was by far the front runner.
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June 18th, 2007, 10:52 AM
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Join Date: Jul 2005
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My guess is that people that spend all their time on the Internet will vote for Paul - in Internet polls & blogs. But he won't get any votes in the actual elections.
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June 19th, 2007, 11:13 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 17,194
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July 18th, 2007, 02:33 PM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 17,194
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July 18th, 2007, 09:45 PM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Ohio
Posts: 1,946
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ron paul ????
what are the odds on him winning and who is taking the action ? What sportsbooks that is ? Personally I would bet he does not win ANY primary period .
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July 19th, 2007, 12:45 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 17,194
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Quote:
Originally Posted by glovesetc
what are the odds on him winning and who is taking the action ? What sportsbooks that is ? Personally I would bet he does not win ANY primary period .
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The point is not that he will probably win. The point of the original post is that, per NFL Systems, you will have THE EDGE if you bet him to win the primary NOW. Its a smart-money longshot bet that has true odds lower than the pay odds (ie, posi-EV). If you find a book, likely online/offshore, let us know. zg
Last edited by zengrifter; July 19th, 2007 at 12:58 AM.
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August 8th, 2007, 02:43 AM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 17,194
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zengrifter
The point is not that he will probably win. The point of the original post is that, per NFL Systems, you will have THE EDGE if you bet him to win the primary NOW. Its a smart-money longshot bet that has true odds lower than the pay odds (ie, posi-EV). If you find a book, likely online/offshore, let us know. zg
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Back in June you could have gotten down for 100-1. In April, 700-1. zg
------------------------
GAMBLING911.com \ August 6, 2007
Ron Paul Odds Slashed From 15 to 1 to 8 to 1!
Following this weekend's Republican debate in Iowa 2008 US Presidential candidate Ron Paul's odds to become the next Commander-in-Chief have been slashed further from 15 to 1 to 8 to 1.
The Presidential betting odds for most candidates have barely moved in recent weeks at Sportsbook.com and Ron Paul's odds have remained steadfast at 15 to 1 for the past two months after heavy action forced the online bookmaker to slash his odds from 100 to 1.
...more - http://www.gambling911.com/Ron-Paul-Odds-080707.html
Last edited by zengrifter; August 8th, 2007 at 02:50 AM.
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October 3rd, 2007, 10:23 PM
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Executive Member
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 17,194
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zengrifter
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Here's a smart-money bet -
"Now is the time for Ron Paul supporters to start banging sites like World Sports Exchange, which still have Paul with +2400 odds for a payout potential of $2400 on every $100 bet when he wins," O'Brien recommends. World Sports Exchange betting odds on Dr. Paul can be found here. "They (WSEX) even have Huckabee ahead of Paul. Ron Paul supporters should be would be outraged and let them have it, even with a $5 bet!"----------------
Ron Paul Odds Have Been Slashed to 6 to 1: Now Favored Over Romney
Public pushes Ron Paul odds down even further this week
Forget those political polls. Throughout time (at least the last decade), oddsmakers have had an uncanny knack for predicting political races. It's not so much that they have a crystal ball, rather the lines adjust based on public action. When it comes to political betting, the public action is presumed to represent votes. The theory being that someone who is likely to vote on Mitt Romney probably won't bet on Ron Paul winning.
The gambling public seems to believe that 2008 Presidential candidate Ron Paul stands a very good chance of winning, so much so that this past week odds on Dr. Paul have been slashed further from 8 to 1 down to 6 to 1, with the potential payout of $600 for every $100 bet. (see betting odds at Sportsbook.com).
...more - http://www.gambling911.com/Ron-Paul-100107.html
Last edited by zengrifter; October 3rd, 2007 at 11:01 PM.
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