Recent content by airborneinf82

sport [spawrt, spohrt] –noun 1. an athletic activity requiring skill or physical prowess and often of a competitive nature, as racing, baseball, tennis, golf, bowling, wrestling, boxing, hunting, fishing, etc. 2. a particular form of this, esp. in the out of doors. 3. diversion...

Ok that makes total sense and I think I see the flaw in logic, which was a simple fact that was overlooked. Thanks for the breakdown. So by that example, this betting strategy compared to flat betting $5 (EV of -$.05 after 2 hands) and $10 (EV of $.10 after 2 hands) really wouldnt make "that"...

On the issue of the BJ probability incorporated in to the win %, then would the probability of just a win (no bj) just be .3856? So a BJ (.0475), Win (.3856), Loss (.4789) and Push (.088) then all totals to 1?

Well this is where my "need" to try and figure out the math comes in. What you put up shows the EV for flat betting $10, and my curiosity arises from, for example and sake of simplicity, initial $10 bet, reduced to the $5 minimum only after a loss. Thus Blackjack-Blackjack-Blackjack (prob...

I went there and I see where your getting those numbers from, but I don't understand how he went from .4331 for a win and then just ignoring the ties makes the probability for a win .4749 I guess Im just trying to get the probabilities for each individual situation. Like If I wanted to...

Ok, so if my math is correct with EV, then on a $10 bet it would be: .4331($10) + .088($0) + .4789(-$10) + .0475($15) $4.331 + $0 + -$4.789 + $.007125 = -$.4509 (approx.) And therefore the chance of winning X number of hands in a row would basically be .4331 ^ X right...

Wouldn't the 47.5% give the house a 2.5% advantage? or is that where the natural comes in?

So at the beginning of the shoe, depending on the game, the house has a typical .5% advantage. I've been using a strategy mainly for cover, but after reading around it seemed to be somewhat on par with opposition betting (referring to the wild bets at .5% to -.5% HA) and I was trying to make...

how much pen should I be on the look out for?

This sort of sounds like the Easy-OPP count system. Start RC at 0, then immediately subtract the # of hands being played (including the dealer) then add +1 to the RC for every card 2-6 that is seen. At the end of the round, subtract the number of players again and do it again. Pivots at +6 I...

So went for some more practice and ended up on the positive end of variance which was nice. kind of kicking myself for my lack of bj-betting-balls but they are slowly growing. I know its just barely enough to beat the game I play, but I did a 1-8 spread, and neither the dealers or pit bosses...

A few of the casinos around here off a couple of side bets that I've read are pretty lucrative, but any indices I've seen mentioned are for hi-lo. I use the unbalanced Red-7 and I was wondering if there was a way to figure out the indices to take advantage of these side bets. Assume a 6D, H17...

Sure thing and Ill let you know whenever I get around to implementing it. Might be a bit since Im still working at keeping the RC going good. but ill tell ya how it goes.

I would suggest putting the chip back as the avatar for many various reasons...

haha no beat up truck here. and im quite a ways away from the midwest. but like the others are saying Red-7 is pretty much like Hi-Lo with the addition of Red 7s being +1. I like this right now because I don't have to worry about doing a true count calculation as well. there is a true count...