Recent content by Deetz

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    Expected Fluctuation for a Lifetime at the Tables

    I was wondering how the original stated ROR of 13.5% may or may not fit into all this. On the one hand, you seem to say it's virtually impossible to be behind after 3MM hands but, otoh, the original ROR would suggest he might experience so much fluctuation he will go bust once every 7-8...
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    Are AP`s just advanced ploppies?

    Yeah I read it. You g**d*** sunovabit** mutha *ucka wat the f*** u way stupider frog than most frogs. Really, what guy would be named "Deetz". Obviously, you really one really really stupid frog. C'mon - I've only made 3 or 4 really idiotic posts over a longish time and you want to...
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    Are AP`s just advanced ploppies?

    Bet your sweet as# we are. :cool:
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    Are AP`s just advanced ploppies?

    Glad you so much enjoyed Machinist's comment for which he has since apologised. And, btw, that's all in the past now as far as I'm concerned. But, truly, an incredibly revealing and responsive post on it's merits, btw, to the issue at hand, very very really really Creepy Panther. And all...
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    Are AP`s just advanced ploppies?

    All I wanted to hear. Thank you for expressing that. Makes me feel much better. As long as this site has people "big-enuf" to do what you did, express what you did and how you felt, I'm OK with that. And I must apologise to you for my "big-shot" comment. Obviously you have proved you are...
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    Anyone Want To Chalk This Up To Luck?

    Well, that seems to assume one has about a 95.24% chance of winning 1 unit with a 20 unit roll, more or less, in an even money game before going broke? Then .9524^4=.83 or so. Is that what you are doing to figure chances of winning 4 units before losing 20 units, more or less? I'm ok with that...
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    Are AP`s just advanced ploppies?

    Ahhhhhhh - the famous "3 Posts" argument..... Hopefully, someday, maybe when I get to be a really really big-shot like you based solely on a few hundred post-counts, who knows, maybe even, eventually, with a few hundred posts more than you, I still won't have learned to ask you "Who c rrapped...
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    Variance Equation

    Thanks all for all the responses. Sometimes I think maybe I'm getting it a little and then sometimes, in a flash, it dissipates into confusion again. In the above what exactly does "EV" mean? I realize in orig example the avg actual $win was $6.67/round while varying bet. I guess based on...
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    Anyone Want To Chalk This Up To Luck?

    In spirit, me too. So why isn't it that someone can post a sim to figure this out? Specifically, and by no means do I mean to dimish QFIT's software, but can it be used to figure out such questions as "winning 4 units before losing 20 units flat-betting" maybe off the top of a shoe? If so...
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    Variance Equation

    First, great question. Second, I probably have no idea as I wonder about this too. But, what is wrong with assuming $1 bet per "round", you say "hand" maybe, but, to me, IBA would be $2/$3 or 66.66%. Like rounds played =3 but hands played =4. I guess TBA would be $2/$4=50%? I mean would...
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    Are AP`s just advanced ploppies?

    So what derogatory term may we use for AP's who might also, possibly, be even stupider than some of the "TOTAL idiot" ploppies? How does a perfect BS player who fully realizes he has -EV but also realizes he has almost no chance of losing all of his 300 unit roll over the next 6000 rounds...
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    getting staked by a friend

    I can't tell if you think betting $100 is being more kind to the friend than betting min. I'd say, if he likes his friend, he refuses his money. If he doesn't, he doesn't play at all and pockets $800 and gives friend $200 after telling him he unfortunately lost all the money. Then play, or...
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