Recent content by Mr. Ed

  1. M

    When to Leave to Maximize EV per hour?

    Sorry, I don't have BJ Attack III. Any insights on when to leave the table? I used to target -1 religiously, but then I simulated as best I could, the average count leaving at -0.5, -1.0, -1.5 and -2.0. It ended up that there was only a tiny difference between -0.5 and -1.0, a small...
  2. M

    When to Leave to Maximize EV per hour?

    At what negative count should I leave the table if I want to maximize EV dollars per hour? I usually leave when the true count pops below -1, but I've always wondered what the ideal time would be. I'm going to Foxwoods. Eight decks, penetration is 87.5% (one deck), das, ls,
  3. M

    Is EV impacted by when you leave?

    If I stick to a rule like, "I will leave the casino when I am up by 20 units, regardless of the count", will this impact my EV? If I only leave the casino after the end of good shoe (count-wise), will this impact EV? Is there any "leaving strategy" that impacts EV? The only thing I can...
  4. M

    How to calculate RoR?

    Thanks, Southpaw. It looks ok under typical situations. But if I play a trillion $1 hands with a bankroll of $1, the formula says my RoR is virtually zero, but common sense says that I'm very likely to quickly lose my teeny bankroll. I was expecting to see an input for the number of...
  5. M

    Abbreviations

    You're such an asslan! (whoops! I misspelled that:))
  6. M

    When to give up EV for reduced variance?

    When does it make sense to give up EV for reduced variance? I'm thinking about insuring BJ or a 20. I guess I'm looking for two answers: One in theory Two in practice
  7. M

    How to calculate RoR?

    Thanks. I've got Blackjack Attack II, but not III. Is there a formula? Can you provide a link? Is this a dumb question?
  8. M

    Temporary PA BLackjack Rules Up For Review

    h17 is too complicated for anyone to understand - Sometimes they HIT 17 and sometimes they Stand 17. It's too complicated. Same thing for 6:5 - way too complicated. Also - It's not "fair": with an $8 bet, $9 payoff cheats the player, $10 payoff cheats the casino. Next?
  9. M

    How to calculate RoR?

    If I assume a normal distribution, I know how to calculate the probability of being below a certain point after n number of samples. But how do you calculate the chance of ever being below a certain point after n or less samples? I might play 200 hands in a night and know there's a 10%...
  10. M

    Rewards Card

    Is anything besides your actual play recorded on a Players Card? From a casino's point of view, it seems beyond stupid to me to not record comments. So if I get backed off, can I ever use my Player's Card again?
  11. M

    Double 11vA in h17, but not s17 - why?

    My guess is -0.209 (stand in s17) and -0.236 (double in h17).
  12. M

    Abbreviations

    Is there a dictionary for abbreviations? What does RoR mean?
  13. M

    Double 11vA in h17, but not s17 - why?

    This baffled me, too, but here's the answer: In h17, the dealer busts more, so your doubled bet makes more. When you double, you give up the opportunity to get a fourth (or fifth, etc.) card and a fourth card isn't worth much when you're hitting a stiff hand against an A (and A6 could be...
  14. M

    Double A9v6, Surrender 17vA, Double A8v6

    I love your idea, but I'd rather find a cheaper way of doing it. Even with a small bet, at TC=0, doubling soft 20v6 costs you about 13 cents on the dollar versus just standing (splitting 10's v 6 costs even more). I'm not willing to pay that much to look like a crazy gambler. I do question...
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