First of all, sorry for so many questions in the last couple of days. I'm new to BJ so naturally it's very exciting time for me 
Secondly, please do not consider it as an attempt to convince anyone in anything. I'm simply thinking about some new ideas and ask you guys questions cause obviously you are much more experienced than I am and hope you will easily prove me wrong. Meanwhile, we can have a nice chat
Simple system based on the following assumptions:
1.When you play progression you have a better chance to win than to lose. Let's say you play $10 $20. You have a very good chance of winning 10$. The problem is that when you lose you don't lose $10. You lose $30. Given the house has advantage you might get lucky for quite a while but will lose in the long run.
2. Money management is important regardless of how you play. You count cards. Today you up $1000. Your average winnings for the same amount of time is $500. Perhaps, you should leave cause even card counters have bad sessions. Leave, rest, enjoy your winnings. Tomorrow is another day.
3. Game fluctuates most of the time. What I have noticed from playing more than a month almost each day. You start with modest $200 buy-in and play $10 $20 progression. On most occasions you will go up and down somewhere in between $60 and $100. Some days of course you will have big loosing or winning streaks right away. But not often.
4. Reverse gambler's fallacy is also valid. You winning 5 hands in a row doesn't mean you will lose 6th. You have pretty much the same chance as always of doing so.
So here's the idea how to change advantage in your favor.
1.You set stop-losses and take profits. Let's say $200 either you win or lose in one session.
2. You start playing progression and wait till it fluctuates in your favor. in my short experience chances that you will immediately catch a bad streak are slim. 1-2 times out of ten maybe.
3. As soon as you up $10 dollars odds of you reaching $200 slightly increase in your favor. How? Well, for starters, you need to win $190 not $200. And even more good news. You can increase you bet virtually for free. So after being $10 up your progression changes. You play $10 $30 now. after you $30 up you play 3 steps progression and increase the last step bet with each winning (10 20 30; 10 20 40 and so on). What you achieve is that your max bet with your money is $20. All big bets are your winnings. Now let's say you lost your big bet and now you even again. What are the chances that it will fluctuates in your favor again? Well, the same as when you started playing.
So, what do you guys think..
Secondly, please do not consider it as an attempt to convince anyone in anything. I'm simply thinking about some new ideas and ask you guys questions cause obviously you are much more experienced than I am and hope you will easily prove me wrong. Meanwhile, we can have a nice chat
Simple system based on the following assumptions:
1.When you play progression you have a better chance to win than to lose. Let's say you play $10 $20. You have a very good chance of winning 10$. The problem is that when you lose you don't lose $10. You lose $30. Given the house has advantage you might get lucky for quite a while but will lose in the long run.
2. Money management is important regardless of how you play. You count cards. Today you up $1000. Your average winnings for the same amount of time is $500. Perhaps, you should leave cause even card counters have bad sessions. Leave, rest, enjoy your winnings. Tomorrow is another day.
3. Game fluctuates most of the time. What I have noticed from playing more than a month almost each day. You start with modest $200 buy-in and play $10 $20 progression. On most occasions you will go up and down somewhere in between $60 and $100. Some days of course you will have big loosing or winning streaks right away. But not often.
4. Reverse gambler's fallacy is also valid. You winning 5 hands in a row doesn't mean you will lose 6th. You have pretty much the same chance as always of doing so.
So here's the idea how to change advantage in your favor.
1.You set stop-losses and take profits. Let's say $200 either you win or lose in one session.
2. You start playing progression and wait till it fluctuates in your favor. in my short experience chances that you will immediately catch a bad streak are slim. 1-2 times out of ten maybe.
3. As soon as you up $10 dollars odds of you reaching $200 slightly increase in your favor. How? Well, for starters, you need to win $190 not $200. And even more good news. You can increase you bet virtually for free. So after being $10 up your progression changes. You play $10 $30 now. after you $30 up you play 3 steps progression and increase the last step bet with each winning (10 20 30; 10 20 40 and so on). What you achieve is that your max bet with your money is $20. All big bets are your winnings. Now let's say you lost your big bet and now you even again. What are the chances that it will fluctuates in your favor again? Well, the same as when you started playing.
So, what do you guys think..
