Are some APs "luckier" than others?
- Thread starter Jacob
- Start date
The good times are what we expect to happen, but the bad beats stick in our craw. Still, I have had worse bad swings than corresponding good swings. With me, and it may be because of my style or the weakness of my count, I experience far more positive swings. but none as deep as a couple of my negative swings. Maybe that's the way it's meant to be, or maybe I'm doing something wrong. Or maybe there is not enough information to conclude anything. Maybe, deeper positive swings are on their way. Until I know for sure, that is a consoling thought.
That's the difference between us and gamblers.
Gamblers remember winning and disregard losing. We expect winning and are astounded and dismayed by losing. I've walked away from the table with 2x EV and feeling like I lost. Knowing that I won, but feeling like I lost. Not that important, being AP's go by knowing and disregard feeling.
Gamblers remember winning and disregard losing. We expect winning and are astounded and dismayed by losing. I've walked away from the table with 2x EV and feeling like I lost. Knowing that I won, but feeling like I lost. Not that important, being AP's go by knowing and disregard feeling.
I've had sessions where I ran right around EV and felt down on myself because I knew I didn't play my best during the session. I also agree with Friendo that we almost feel entitled to large wins, even if our EV is somewhat modest. I've had sessions where I won 4x my EV and thought to myself, "it's about time!" AM makes a good point—gamblers remember the wins, we remember the losses. I can only remember a handful of relatively large wins throughout my playing career, but I can remember quite a few reasonable losses (although they don't bother me all that much).
You're 100% correct. A gambler will remember a $10,000 win, and conveniently forget years of losses amounting to hundreds of thousands. I see it all the time. Funny how they can recall each minute detail of those wins. 
A gambler would rather have a huge win all at one time, having paid a steep premium for it over the years, than a healthy steady win rate over time that is cumulatively much larger. Gamblers never brag about their win rate; they invariably brag about their largest wins.
A gambler would rather have a huge win all at one time, having paid a steep premium for it over the years, than a healthy steady win rate over time that is cumulatively much larger. Gamblers never brag about their win rate; they invariably brag about their largest wins.
http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/showthread.php?t=11094
Here is a old thread with 51 pages of discussion on LUCK if you want to read it.
Here is a old thread with 51 pages of discussion on LUCK if you want to read it.
Nearly half a million bucks
Answers
1) His year to date bankroll with the half-Kellie: nearly five hundred thousand bucks.
2) His bankroll for that recent trip: one hundred thousand bucks (Perhaps that why muggers have targeted gamblers in casinos Borg, Trop, Taj, etc... Hmm..., sooner or later, a robber will mug Don Johnson, and that mugger will be rich for life :laugh.
Answers
1) His year to date bankroll with the half-Kellie: nearly five hundred thousand bucks.
2) His bankroll for that recent trip: one hundred thousand bucks (Perhaps that why muggers have targeted gamblers in casinos Borg, Trop, Taj, etc... Hmm..., sooner or later, a robber will mug Don Johnson, and that mugger will be rich for life :laugh
.