Originally Posted by StandardDeviant View Post
Still the question of "sim trust" is interesting. We run sims of 100's of millions of hands to understand EV, and yet none of us will live long enough to play that many hands. So, even if the sim is telling the "truth" in the long run, we will not live to see the long run, and therefore our results can't be reliably compared with what comes out of the sim. So is the sim right, and can we trust it? How would we know??
Which then brings us to the question...what is the value of simulation if it can't reliably tell us what results we can individually expect. I think the answer is that the sim gives us confidence to keep playing, even when we are losing big time, because we can know that there is no better strategy than the one we are following.