hi
I am no expert, bu t i hav played blackjack many times at local casino
Basically I am aware that the only way to have an increased insight to what the next card may be is to count cards. However as 1.5 of the shoe is discarded, I wonder what values this has.
However I digress, My question is as follows:
Statistically, how do my odds change with regards to winning when I always decline to hit when I have over hard 12?
What about if i hit on soft 18, 19, 20 *dealer shows 3,4,5,6
What if i split 10s on dealer showing 3,4,5,6?
i am more concerned with the first scenario as if you have 12 , the odds of busting or of hitting a card that does not help are:
10 10 10 10 (10, J Q K) bust = 4 cards
cards not helping:
A 2 3 4 = 4 cards
8 over 13 cards possible gives you a 61% chance of busting or getting a non
helping card (is 16 better than 12? what difference does it make?)
if you hit on 13, 14, 15, etc, the odds further decrease for cards that are favorable
eg hit on 15 = leaves 7/13 cards to bust you and 21 card that does not help (61%)
please point me to a free simulator where i can try this out or if you ahve worked this out, i would like to know
thanks
JAMIE
I am no expert, bu t i hav played blackjack many times at local casino
Basically I am aware that the only way to have an increased insight to what the next card may be is to count cards. However as 1.5 of the shoe is discarded, I wonder what values this has.
However I digress, My question is as follows:
Statistically, how do my odds change with regards to winning when I always decline to hit when I have over hard 12?
What about if i hit on soft 18, 19, 20 *dealer shows 3,4,5,6
What if i split 10s on dealer showing 3,4,5,6?
i am more concerned with the first scenario as if you have 12 , the odds of busting or of hitting a card that does not help are:
10 10 10 10 (10, J Q K) bust = 4 cards
cards not helping:
A 2 3 4 = 4 cards
8 over 13 cards possible gives you a 61% chance of busting or getting a non
helping card (is 16 better than 12? what difference does it make?)
if you hit on 13, 14, 15, etc, the odds further decrease for cards that are favorable
eg hit on 15 = leaves 7/13 cards to bust you and 21 card that does not help (61%)
please point me to a free simulator where i can try this out or if you ahve worked this out, i would like to know
thanks
JAMIE