As we play the game, we hope that the count will start rising and eventually reach the levels where we can increase our bets. With high TC's, we anticipate getting good hands and making some money. So, we are basically waiting for a streak of high value cards.
But what if there is a streak of those high value cards at the beginning of the shoe? So, now the count just plummets down, and we are supposed to leave the table, because we don't want to play those negative counts. Since this scenario dictates leaving the table after only a hand or two played, aren't we potentially missing an opportunity to win some hands, riding this wave of high cards? Pretty much the same wave we are hoping for at those high counts.
Why is a streak of high cards bad for us early in the game, or at any other point, for that matter, and it is good for us only if it is preceded by a streak of low cards, creating those favorable high TC's? Even late in the shoe, especially with poor penetrations, there is no guarantee that the TC will not just keep on climbing, leaving all those "good" cards behind the cut card, never to be seen by us.
We hope to see a few hands with predominantly high cards, when the TC is high and we have our bigger bets out there, but the same few hands, rich in high cards, automatically chase us away, when they come at neutral counts.
When is the best time to leave, or to take a break, when we see such a streak of high cards? If we leave right away, as soon as the count reaches our Wong out setpoint, that is a pretty safe bet, but again, aren't we maybe missing an opportunity to win a few more hands? Would a better approach be waiting for the streak to stop (for example leaving only after a hand in which the running count finally started going up, after plummeting down for a few hands)? Or maybe playing until you lose a hand, or two, provided you've been winning those hands?
Personally, I leave (take a break), as soon as I reach the Wong out point, but I always had these thoughts of whether it is really the best thing to do.
But what if there is a streak of those high value cards at the beginning of the shoe? So, now the count just plummets down, and we are supposed to leave the table, because we don't want to play those negative counts. Since this scenario dictates leaving the table after only a hand or two played, aren't we potentially missing an opportunity to win some hands, riding this wave of high cards? Pretty much the same wave we are hoping for at those high counts.
Why is a streak of high cards bad for us early in the game, or at any other point, for that matter, and it is good for us only if it is preceded by a streak of low cards, creating those favorable high TC's? Even late in the shoe, especially with poor penetrations, there is no guarantee that the TC will not just keep on climbing, leaving all those "good" cards behind the cut card, never to be seen by us.
We hope to see a few hands with predominantly high cards, when the TC is high and we have our bigger bets out there, but the same few hands, rich in high cards, automatically chase us away, when they come at neutral counts.
When is the best time to leave, or to take a break, when we see such a streak of high cards? If we leave right away, as soon as the count reaches our Wong out setpoint, that is a pretty safe bet, but again, aren't we maybe missing an opportunity to win a few more hands? Would a better approach be waiting for the streak to stop (for example leaving only after a hand in which the running count finally started going up, after plummeting down for a few hands)? Or maybe playing until you lose a hand, or two, provided you've been winning those hands?
Personally, I leave (take a break), as soon as I reach the Wong out point, but I always had these thoughts of whether it is really the best thing to do.