just i think i'd say circa 30% at an advantage and circa 70% at a disadvantage if we only knew it but if we don't know what or when it's only prudent to assume each bet is placed at a negative expectation.
:whip:
so but what i find interesting about the OP was how Chitown writes about how it isn't really all that difficult to make three units. i mean, yeah even though like you and most everyone knows you can't expect to beat the house edge using just some betting technique with no knowledge of when you have an advantage and when you are at a disadvantage, even so it's still a fact that if one sets out to say just win one unit that it is quite remarkable how easy that is to do the vast majority of the time.
and no argument here, that it is just as remarkable how easy it can be to lose a sh!t ton of units just trying to win one unit. lol.
:cry::whip:
a few nights back in the chat room ExhibitCAA posed a problem (sorry i can't remember the specifics) about two players, one player just betting a certain way with no knowledge of the advantage and the other player betting
according to knowledge of the advantage that had some degree of uncertainty involved. it turned out the player using the uncertain knowledge had quite a bit of ground to make up relative to the steady betting player who had no knowledge of the advantage.