blackjack avenger wrote "Why not just overbet all bets?
Forget the overtipping?"
Yes, I do "over-bet", according to most people.
However, I don’t think I over-bet because my results
have been acceptable to *me*. The operative word in
that statement is “me”.
I used to care about *precisely* ramping my bets, but now,
I’m happy to see large fluctuations because I’m absolutely
confident of the math. I will win in the long run, and by
“long run” I mean only 6 weeks (maybe 9).
You’ll be surprised to learn that I estimate the discard
tray to 2 decks! Yes, 2 decks, or maybe 1 deck sometimes.
I only need to know if the TC is greater than 1.
If the TC is very much greater than 1, then I starting
firing away black chips (or purple).
Getting an extra round at ultra high counts (with 2 or 3
hands of $400 or $500 each) is worth tipping $25 to the
dealer.
Please keep in mind that the concept of “over-betting” is
relative. If your bank roll and your mind-set can take
the blow, then you’re not over-betting.
Actually, you’re increasing your return.
The more you bet, the more you win.
By the way, on a side note, unbalanced counts were invented
to avoid having to estimate the discard tray and calculate
the TC, but if you do what I do, then Hi-Lo is much better
than any unbalanced counts.